Robust increase of seasonal amplitude in simulated terrestrial CO2 exchange in last decades

Thursday, 18 December 2014
Motoko Ito Inatomi, Ibaraki University, Mito, Japan and Akihiko Ito, CGER-NIES, Tsukuba, Japan
Ongoing climatic change is expected to affect terrestrial carbon budget by altering growing period and photosynthetic and respiratory processes. Indeed, a recent atmospheric study (Graven et al. 2013) shows that seasonal amplitude of atmospheric CO2 concentration has bee increased since 1960. Because of the lack of long-term observational data except phenology, it is difficult to confirm such enhancement of vegetation activity through a direct approach. Therefore, we examined the simulated terrestrial CO2 exchange by a process-based model (VISIT) from 1901 to 2010, using the MsTMIP protocol. Several metrics were used to characterize the seasonal amplitude: maximum photosynthetic uptake and respiratory release and cumulative net biome production (NBP). To separate the effects of climatic change and elevated atmospheric increase, two simulation results (climate, climate+CO2) were compared. The results showed that the seasonal amplitude defined as the maximum?minimum cumulative NBP in the Northern Hemisphere increased by 16% from the 1960s to the 2000s. Such increase in seasonal amplitude was more evident in North America and Europe, compared with Siberia and Asia. In the climate-only simulation, northern seasonal amplitude decreased from 1965 to 1980, a climatic cooling period, and then increased since then. These results indicate that the observed increase of atmospheric CO2 concentration amplitude is largely attributable to enhanced terrestrial vegetation activity. We would compare these results with those by other terrestrial ecosystem models and possibly with some observational record.