GC23D-0667:
Response of Agriculture and Forests to Climate Change in France: Assessment of Uncertainties and Trend Analysis
Tuesday, 16 December 2014
Nabil Laanaia and Dominique Carrer, CNRM-GAME, Toulouse Cedex 01, France
Abstract:
In the framework of the French research project ORACLE we examine the impact of climate change on agriculture and forests in France for two time horizons (2020-2050 and 2070-2100) in reference to the 1970-2000 period. The biophysical variables (leaf area index, equilibrium forest biomass, leaf onset and offset, ...) are produced by ISBA-A-gs forced by the atmospheric variables produced by differents climat models and scenarios. Their trends will be analyzed. The impact of uncertainties at various levels through multi-model and multi-scenario approaches will be assessed
