Roles of URLs in Probing Controls on Induced Seismicity and Permeability Evolution

Abstract:

The generation and extension of new fractures and the development of controlled slip and opening are an implicit component in both forming and in enhancing flow pathways to unlock hydrocarbons and geothermal energy in otherwise very low permeability formations. The opposite is true for containment structures and caprocks. The complex stress state coupled with pre-existing fracture networks means that new flow pathways may develop in complex ways including varied modes of dilatation and slip, deformation that may be seismic or aseismic and permeability that may net increase of decrease. Where this deformation relies on either the reactivation, extension or development of fractures, this evolution is intrinsically scale dependent requiring that an improved understanding of this dynamic response must interrogate its evolution at representative scales – scales of decimeters to a few meters. We explore the controls on instability through frictional slip and instability including changes related to environmental conditions and physical properties. The former relate to changes in effective stress driven by fluid pressures, thermal and chemical stresses and the latter to changes in strength and stability conditioned on initial or evolving mineralogy. We identify important contemporary questions that are intrinsically scale dependent and may be effectively probed by field experimentation linking deformation and permeability.