Uncertainty and Sensitivity in Models and Observations and Their Impacts on Decision Making Related to Geological, Hydrological, and Environmental Applications II Posters

Tuesday, 16 December 2014: 1:40 PM-6:00 PM
Chairs:  Min-Hui Lo, NTU National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan and Hoshin Vijai Gupta, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
Primary Conveners:  Ray G Anderson, USDA Agricultural Research Service Riverside, Riverside, CA, United States
Co-conveners:  Velimir V Vesselinov, LANL, Santa Fe, NM, United States, Hoshin Vijai Gupta, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States and Todd H Skaggs, US Salinity Lab, Riverside, CA, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Todd H Skaggs, US Salinity Lab, Riverside, CA, United States

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

An Effective Parameter Screening Strategy for High Dimensional Watershed Models
Yogesh P Khare, Christopher J Martinez and Rafael Munoz-Carpena, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States
How to Address Measurement Noise in Bayesian Model Averaging
Anneli Schöniger, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany, Thomas Wöhling, University of Tübingen, Water & Earth System Science Competence Cluster (WESS), Tübingen, Germany and Wolfgang Nowak, University of Stuttgart, Stuttgart, Germany
Evaluating the Current and Future Water Supply and Demands in the Apurimac River Basin, in Peru. Sensitivity Analysis of a Hydrologic and Water Planning Model
Sooyeon Yi1, Samuel Sandoval Solis1 and Fabian A Bombardelli2, (1)University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States, (2)Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, CA, United States
Exploring the Effects of GCM Uncertainty on the Hydrology and Water Allocation of a Small Mountain Watershed in Northern British Columbia, Canada.
Faye Hirshfield, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada, Axel Anderson, Foothills Research Institute, Hinton, AB, Canada and Jueyi Sui, University of Northern British Columbia, Prince George, BC, Canada
Inter-Model Diagnostics for Two Snow Models Across Multiple Western U.S. Locations and Implications for Management
Elizabeth Sara Houle1, Ben Livneh2 and Joseph R Kasprzyk1, (1)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States
Global Sensitivity Analysis of Environmental Models: Convergence, Robustness and Accuracy Analysis
Fanny Sarrazin1, Francesca Pianosi1, Andreas J Hartmann2 and Thorsten Wagener1, (1)University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom, (2)University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom
Spatial Characteristics of Geothermal Spring Temperatures and Discharge Rates in the Tatun Volcanic Area, Taiwan
Cheng-Shin Jang, Kainan University, Taoyuan, Taiwan and Chen-Wuing Liu, Natl Taiwan Univ, Taipei, Taiwan
A Risk-Based Multi-Objective Optimization Concept for Early-Warning Monitoring Networks
Felix Bode, Matthias Loschko and Wolfgang Nowak, University of Stuttgart, Stuttgart, Germany
Definition and sensitivity of the conceptual MORDOR rainfall–runoff model parameters using different multi-criteria calibration strategies
Federico Garavaglia, Emie Seyve, Frédéric Gottardi, Matthieu Le Lay, Joël Gailhard and Rémy Garçon, EDF-DTG, Grenoble, France
Global sensitivity analysis using a new approach based on cumulative distribution functions
Thorsten Wagener, Francesca Pianosi and Fanny Sarrazin, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
UQ and Decision Making for Groundwater Contamination: A Measure-Theoretic Approach
Steven Andrew Mattis1, Clint Dawson1 and Troy Butler2, (1)University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States, (2)University of Colorado Denver, Denver, CO, United States
A New Method of Sensitivity Analysis for Multi-Criteria Decision Making in Water Resources
Seyedpouya Shekarrizfard1, Mahmoud Reza Shaghaghian1 and Arman Ganji2, (1)Science and Research branch, Islamic Azad University, Fars, Iran, civil, shiraz, Iran, (2)University of Quebec at Montreal UQAM, Montreal, QC, Canada
Using a Three-Dimensional Hydrogeologic Framework to Investigate Potential Sources of Water Springs in the Death Valley Regional Groundwater Flow System
Mary C Hill, USGS, Boulder, CO, United States, Wayne Robert Belcher, US Geological Survey, Henderson, NV, United States, Donald Steven Sweetkind, USGS, Denver, CO, United States and Claudia Faunt, U.S. Geological Survey, CA WSC, San Diego, CA, San Diego, CA, United States
A New Approach to Estimate Prediction Uncertainty using Sparse Ad hoc Samples in Digital Soil Mapping application
Jing Liu1, A-xing Zhu1,2, Fei Du1 and Shujie Zhang3, (1)University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States, (2)Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing, China, (3)IGSNRR Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing, China
Bayesian Information-Gap Decision Analysis Applied to a CO2 Leakage Problem 
Daniel O'Malley, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Computational Earth Sciences, Los Alamos, NM, United States and Velimir V Vesselinov, LANL, Santa Fe, NM, United States
Risk-Based, Hypothesis-Driven Framework for Hydrological Field Campaigns with Case Studies
Bradley Harken, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States and Yoram Rubin, Univ California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States
Uncertainty of Areal Rainfall Estimation Using Point Measurements
Cintia B. S. Dotto1, Siao Sun2, Jean-Luc Bertrand-Krajewski2, Ana Deletic1 and David McCarthy1, (1)Monash University, Civil Engineering, Melbourne, Australia, (2)University of Lyon, INSA Lyon, Lyon, France
Félix Salgado II, University of Tolima, Ingeniería, Ibague, Colombia and Jorge Vélez, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Caldas, Manizales, Colombia
A Constrained Differential Evolution Algorithm for Reservoir Management: Optimal Placement and Control of Wells for Geological Carbon Storage with Uncertainty in Reservoir Properties
Abdullah Cihan1, Jens T Birkholzer1 and Marco Bianchi2, (1)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth Sciences, Berkeley, CA, United States, (2)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States
Multi-Physics Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods for Subsurface Flows
Joyce Rigelo, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States, Victor Ginting, University of Wyoming, Mathematics, Laramie, WY, United States, Arunasalam Rahunanthan, Edinboro University of Pennsylvania, Mathematics and Computer Science, Edinboro, PA, United States and Felipe Pereira, University of Texas at Dallas, Mathematical Sciences, Dallas, TX, United States
Nonlinear inversion: Regularization as a priori information
Jodi Mead, Boise State University, Boise, ID, United States
Hydrologic Network Fault Trees Help Understand Patterns of Water Contamination
Allen Teklitz1, William Shuster2 and Lilit Yeghiazarian1, (1)University of Cincinnati Main Campus, Cincinnati, OH, United States, (2)USEPA, Cincinnati, OH, United States
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