Characterizing, Understanding, and Modeling Climate Extremes II

Friday, 19 December 2014: 4:00 PM-6:00 PM
Chairs:  Christian Page, CERFACS, Toulouse, France and Jonathan Winter, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, United States
Primary Conveners:  Christian Page, CERFACS, Toulouse, France
Co-conveners:  Jonathan Winter, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Christian Page, CERFACS, Toulouse, France

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

4:00 PM
Recent Developments in Statistical Downscaling of Extremes
Elke Hertig, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany
4:15 PM
Sensitivity of Statistical Downscaling Techniques to Reanalysis Choice and Implications for Regional Climate Change Scenarios
Swen Brands1, Rodrigo Manzanas Sr.2, Daniel San Martin Sr.3 and Jose Manuel Gutierrez Sr.2, (1)Spanish National Research Council, Zaragoza, Spain, (2)Grupo de Meteorlogia de Santander, Instituto de Fisica de Cantabria (CSIC-UC), Santander, Spain, (3)Predictia Intelligent Data Solutions, Santander, Spain
4:30 PM
Changes in Large Spatiotemporal Climatic Extreme Events Beyond the Mean Warming Signal
Sebastian Sippel1, Miguel D Mahecha1 and Friederike Elly Luise Otto2, (1)Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany, (2)University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
4:45 PM
Using Mixture Regression to Understand and Model Tropical Cyclone Intensification in Relation to the Environment and Climate
Emmi Yonekura, Ning Lin, Yuyan Wang and Jianqing Fan, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
5:00 PM
Investigating Extreme Heat and Humidity in the Northeast United States from a Joint Hazard Perspective
Radley M Horton, Columbia University/NASA GISS, New York, NY, United States, Ethan Coffel, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States and Yochanan Kushnir, Columbia Univ, Palisades, NY, United States
5:15 PM
Regional Climate Model Simulation of Extreme Precipitation in North America
Kenneth Kunkel1, Xungang Yin2, Anne Frigon3 and Jacinthe Clavet-Gaumont3, (1)CICS-NC/NCDC, Asheville, NC, United States, (2)ERT, Inc., Falls Church, VA, United States, (3)Ouranos, Montreal, QC, Canada
5:30 PM
High Resolution Projections of 21st Century Daily Precipitation for the Contiguous USA
Justin T Schoof, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale, IL, United States
5:45 PM
Variability of western Amazon dry-season precipitation extremes: importance of decadal fluctuations and implications for predictability
Katia Fernandes1,2, Walter Baethgen1, Louis V Verchot2,3, Alessandra Giannini1 and Miguel Pinedo-Vasquez2,3, (1)International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States, (2)Center for International Forestry Research, Bogor, Indonesia, (3)Columbia University, Earth Institute Center for Environmental Sustainability, New York, NY, United States