GC43G:
Quantifying Uncertainty in Climate, Earth System, Integrated Assessment, and Impact Models and Observations II

Thursday, 18 December 2014: 1:40 PM-3:40 PM
Chairs:  Linda O Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, Elisabeth A Lloyd, Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States, Donald D Lucas, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States and Manvendra Krishna Dubey, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States
Primary Conveners:  Maoyi Huang, Pacific NW Nat'l Lab-Atmos Sci, Richland, WA, United States
Co-conveners:  Donald D Lucas, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States, Katharine Hayhoe, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, United States and Elisabeth A Lloyd, Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Donald D Lucas, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

1:40 PM
GC43G-01
 
Uncertainty in Climate Change Projections due to Internal Variability
Clara Deser, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States and Adam Phillips, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
2:00 PM
GC43G-02
 
Uncertainty in Socioeconomic Pathways and Their Implications for Climate Forcing and Analysis—the Shared Socioeconomic Scenarios (SSPs)
James Edmonds, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
2:20 PM
GC43G-03
 
The Role That Clouds Play in Uncertainty in the Climate Sensitivity
Andrew E Dessler, Texas A&M Univ, College Station, TX, United States
2:40 PM
GC43G-04
 
A Philosopher’s Look at Model-Tuning
Mathias Frisch, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States
3:00 PM
GC43G-05
 
Biases in the instrumental temperature record: the policy and communications context
Kevin Cowtan, University of York, York, YO10, United Kingdom and Robert Way, University of Ottawa, Geography, Ottawa, ON, Canada
3:20 PM
GC43G-06
 
Climate feedback uncertainty quantification and learning using reduced models
Nathan M Urban, Los Alamos National Lab, Los Alamos, NM, United States and Balasubramanya T Nadiga, LANL, Los Alamos, NM, United States
 
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