GC21F:
Agriculture in an Uncertain Future: Understanding and Responding to the Impacts of Extreme Events I

Tuesday, 16 December 2014: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM
Chairs:  Pedram Rowhani, University of Sussex, Brighton, BN1, United Kingdom, Navin Ramankutty, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada and Toshichika Iizumi, NIAES National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, Tsukuba, Japan
Primary Conveners:  Pedram Rowhani, University of Sussex, Brighton, BN1, United Kingdom
Co-conveners:  Navin Ramankutty, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada and Toshichika Iizumi, NIAES, Tsukuba, Japan
OSPA Liaisons:  Pedram Rowhani, University of Sussex, Brighton, BN1, United Kingdom

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

8:00 AM
 
Global Famine after a Regional Nuclear War
Alan Robock, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, Lili Xia, Rutgers Univ, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, Michael J Mills, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Andrea Stenke, ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland and Ira Helfand, International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War, Somerville, MA, United States
8:15 AM
 
The past impact of climate change on the yield of major crops
Gen Sakurai1, Toshichika Iizumi1, Motoki Nishimori1, Masashi Okada1 and Masayuki Yokozawa2, (1)NIAES, Tsukuba, Japan, (2)Shizuoka University, Shizuoka, Japan
8:30 AM
 
Can Multiple Cropping Help to Avoid the Impacts of Heat Extremes? The Case of Winter Wheat/Soybean Double Cropping in the United States
Christopher Seifert, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States and David B Lobell, Stanford University, Los Altos Hills, CA, United States
8:45 AM
 
Extreme weather events and global crop production
Deepak K Ray1, James S Gerber2 and Paul C West1, (1)University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Minneapolis, MN, United States, (2)University of Minnesota, St Paul, MN, United States
9:00 AM
 
Agricultural and Social Resiliency of Small-Scale Agriculture to Economic and Climatic Shocks: A Comparison of Subsistence versus Market-Based Agricultural Approaches in Rural Guatemala
Julien Jean Malard1, Hugo Melgar-Quiñonez1, Pedro Pineda2, Juventino Gálvez2 and Jan F Adamowski1, (1)McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada, (2)Universidad Rafael Landívar, Institute of Agriculture, Nat. Resources and the Environment, Guatemala City, Guatemala
9:15 AM
 
Quantifying the risks of winter damage on overwintering crops under future climates: Will low-temperature damage be more likely in warmer climates?
Giulia Vico and Martin Weih, SLU Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences Uppsala, Uppsala, Sweden
9:30 AM
 
Non-stationarity of “Nature’s Limit” - Implications for Agriculture in Semi-arid Environments
Carly Tozer1, Anthony Kiem2 and Danielle Verdon-Kidd2, (1)University of Newcastle, Callaghan, NSW, Australia, (2)University of Newcastle, Callaghan, Australia
9:45 AM
 
Beyond extreme temperatures: soil water supply and yield variability
Daniel Urban, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States and David B Lobell, Stanford University, Los Altos Hills, CA, United States