Multimodel and Initial-Condition Ensemble Simulations for Climate Research I

Wednesday, 17 December 2014: 1:40 PM-3:40 PM
Chairs:  Clara Deser1, Jennifer E Kay1 and Ben P Kirtman2, (1)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States(2)University of Miami - RSMAS, Miami, FL, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Jin Huang, NOAA, Camp Springs, MD, United States

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

1:40 PM
Detection and Attribution of Temperature Trends in the Presence of Natural Variability
John Michael Wallace, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
2:00 PM
Robust Forced Signals and Irreducible Uncertainties in Projections of Extremes
Erich M Fischer and Reto Knutti, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
2:20 PM
Estimating the Role of Natural Variability in Climate Change Using Observations
David W J Thompson1, Elizabeth A Barnes1, Clara Deser2 and William E Foust1, (1)Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (2)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
2:40 PM
Time of emergence of multiple ocean ecosystem stressors in a large ensemble with an Earth System Model
Keith B Rodgers1, Thomas L Froelicher2 and Jonathan Lin1, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
3:00 PM
Role of forced and internal variability in Pacific sea-level trends
Pedro N Di Nezio, University of Hawai''i at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States, Christina Karamperidou, Univ Hawaii, HONOLULU, HI, United States and Clara Deser, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
3:20 PM
Characterizing the Increase in U.S. Precipitation
Martin P Hoerling1, Xiao-Wei Quan2, Judith Perlwitz2,3 and Jon Eischeid2, (1)NOAA Boulder, ESRL, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States
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