PP44B:
Understanding Uncertainties in Paleoclimate and Paleoecology: Age Models, Proxy Processes, and Beyond II

Thursday, 18 December 2014: 4:00 PM-6:00 PM
Chairs:  Connor Nolan, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States and Deborah Khider, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
Primary Conveners:  Connor Nolan, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
Co-conveners:  John W Williams1, Lorraine E Lisiecki2 and Deborah Khider2, (1)University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, United States(2)University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  John W Williams, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, United States

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

4:00 PM
PP44B-01
 
The Paleoclimate Uncertainty Cascade: Tracking Proxy Errors Via Proxy System Models.
Julien Emile-Geay1, Sylvia G Dee1, Michael N Evans2 and Jess F Adkins3, (1)University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)Univ Maryland, College Park, MD, United States, (3)California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States
4:15 PM
PP44B-02
 
Foraminifera Record the Good Years More than the Bad
Pincelli M Hull, Yale University, Department of Geology and Geophysics, New Haven, CT, United States
4:30 PM
PP44B-03
 
Radioisotopic Tie Points of the Quaternary Geomagnetic Instability Time Scale (GITS): How Accurate and Precise?
Bradley S Singer, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States
4:45 PM
PP44B-04
 
A Probabilistic Model of Chronological Errors in Layer-Counted Climate Proxies
Maud Comboul1, Julien Emile-Geay1, Michael N Evans2, Nasim Mirnateghi1, Kim M Cobb3 and Diane M Thompson4, (1)University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)Univ Maryland, College Park, MD, United States, (3)EAS Georgia Tech, Atlanta, GA, United States, (4)University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
5:00 PM
PP44B-05
 
What in reality did we count? Some details of the Suigetsu chronology (SG06_2012 yr BP chronology)
Takeshi Nakagawa, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, United Kingdom; Ritsumeikan University, Kusatsu, Japan
5:15 PM
PP44B-06
 
Quantifying Uncertainty in Spatio-temporal Forest Composition Changes Inferred from Fossil Pollen Records
Andria Dawson1, Christopher J Paciorek1, Jason S McLachlan2, Simon J Goring3, John W Williams3 and Stephen T Jackson4, (1)University of California, Berkeley, CA, United States, (2)University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, United States, (3)University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States, (4)USGS Southwest Research Climate Science Center, Tucson, AZ, United States
5:30 PM
PP44B-07
 
A Statistical Reconstruction of Bivariate Climate from Tree Ring Width Measurements Using Scientifically Motivated Process Models.
John Tipton1, Mevin Hooten1, Neil Pederson2, Martin Tingley3 and Daniel A Bishop2, (1)Colorado State University, Statistics, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (2)Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, (3)Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, University Park, PA, United States
5:45 PM
PP44B-08
 
Seeing the Forest for the Tree(ring)s: Guarding Against False Discovery in Large-Scale Dendroclimatology
Scott St George, University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Minneapolis, MN, United States
 
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