GC44B:
Quantifying Uncertainty in Climate, Earth System, Integrated Assessment, and Impact Models and Observations III

Thursday, 18 December 2014: 4:00 PM-6:00 PM
Chairs:  Katharine Hayhoe, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, United States, Mark Boslough, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States, Mary C Hill, University of Kansas, Department of Geology, Lawrence, KS, United States and Zhangshuan Hou, Pac NW Nat'l Lab-Hydrology, Richland, WA, United States
Primary Conveners:  Maoyi Huang, Pacific NW Nat'l Lab-Atmos Sci, Richland, WA, United States
Co-conveners:  Donald D Lucas, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States, Katharine Hayhoe, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, United States and Linda O Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Mark Boslough, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

4:00 PM
GC44B-01
 
A brief overview uncertainties in climate change projections and their consequences for impact assessment
Claudia Tebaldi, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
4:20 PM
GC44B-02
 
Climate models, extremes and the role of statistics.
Douglas W Nychka, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
4:40 PM
GC44B-03
 
(non) Emergent Constraints
Charles S Jackson1, Mohammad Wasef Hattab2 and Gabriel Huerta2, (1)University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States, (2)University of New Mexico Main Campus, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Albuquerque, NM, United States
5:00 PM
GC44B-04
 
Regional climate predictability from regional climate feedbacks.
Gerard Roe, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States, Nicole Feldl, Univ of WA-Atmospheri Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States, Kyle Armour, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States, Yen-Ting Hwang, University of Washington, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States and Dargan M Frierson, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
5:20 PM
GC44B-05
 
Stringent Mitigation Policy Implied By Temperature Impacts on Economic Growth
Frances Moore, Stanford Earth Sciences, Stanford, CA, United States and Delavane Turner, Stanford University, Management Science and Engineering, Los Altos Hills, CA, United States
5:40 PM
GC44B-06
 
The Influence of Downscaling Models and Observations on Future Hydrochemistry Reponses of Forest Watersheds
Afshin Pourmokhtarian1, Charles T Driscoll2, John L Campbell3, Katharine Hayhoe4 and Anne Marie K Stoner4, (1)Boston University, Boston, MA, United States, (2)Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, United States, (3)USDA Forest Service, Durham, NH, United States, (4)Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, United States
 
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