GC43B:
The Emerging Science of Climate Attribution, Detection, and Trend Analysis II Posters

Thursday, 18 December 2014: 1:40 PM-6:00 PM
Chairs:  Chris C Funk, University of California Santa Barbara, Geography, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, Stephanie Herring, NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, Andrew Hoell, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States and Dáithí A Stone, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States
Primary Conveners:  Chris C Funk, UC Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States; USGS, Sioux Falls, SD, United States
Co-conveners:  Dáithí A Stone, Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Berkeley, CA, United States, Andrew Hoell, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States and Stephanie Herring, NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Chris C Funk, University of California Santa Barbara, Geography, Santa Barbara, CA, United States

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

0698
 
Sensitivity of Recent Event Attribution Analyses to Methodology
Oliver Marc Angélil1, Dáithí A Stone2, Pardeep Pall1 and Michael F Wehner1, (1)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, (2)Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Berkeley, CA, United States
0699
 
Detection and quantification of fraction of attributable risk of extremes at regional to global scale
Erich M Fischer1 and Reto Knutti1,2, (1)ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, (2)ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
0700
 
Evaluation of methods to determine the fraction of attributable risk for a given extreme event
Frank Selten, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, 3730, Netherlands, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands and Friederike Elly Luise Otto, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
0701
 
Assessing Possible Anthropogenic Contributions to the Rainfall Extremes Associated with Typhoon Morakot (2009)
Cheng-Ta Chen, Shi-Hao Lo and Chung-Chieh Wang, NTNU National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan
0702
 
Attribution of UK Winter Floods to Anthropogenic Forcing
Nathalie Schaller1, Kay Alison2, Sarah Naomi Sparrow1, Friederike Elly Luise Otto1, Neil Massey1, Robert Vautard3, Pascal Yiou3, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh4, Ronald van Haren4, Rob Lamb5, Chris Huntingford2, Sue Crooks2, Tim Legg6, Antje Weisheimer1, Andy Bowery1, Jonathan Miller1, Richard Jones6, Peter Stott7 and Myles Robert Allen8, (1)University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, (2)Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom, (3)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, (4)Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands, (5)JBA Trust, Skipton, United Kingdom, (6)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (7)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, EX1, United Kingdom, (8)University of Oxford, ECI/School of Geography and the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom
0703
 
The Role of Anthropogenic Climate Change in the 2013 Drought over North Island, New Zealand
Luke James Harrington1, Suzanne Rosier2, Sam M Dean2, Stephen Stuart2 and Alice Scahill1, (1)Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand, (2)NIWA National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand
0704
 
The Extraordinary California Drought of 2013-2014: Character, Context, and the Role of Climate Change
Daniel L Swain1, Michael Tsiang1, Matz Haugen1, Deepti Singh2, Allison Charland3, Bala Rajaratnam1 and Noah S Diffenbaugh2, (1)Stanford University, Los Altos Hills, CA, United States, (2)Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, (3)Stanford University, Livermore, CA, United States
0705
 
An attempt to reconstruct the observed climate trends in the Baltic Sea Basin
Armineh Barkhordarian1, Hans Von Storch1 and Carlos R Mechoso2, (1)Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Materials and Coastal Research, Geesthacht, Germany, (2)UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, United States
0706
 
Impact of Interdecadal Sea Level and Sea Surface Temperature Variability on Primary Productivity and Harmful Algal Blooms in Southern California
Kelly L Perry, University of Southern California, Ocean Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States
0707
 
Attributing the Increase in Northern Hemisphere Hot Summers during the Last Half of the 20th Century and the Recent Climate Hiatus
Youichi Kamae1, Hideo Shiogama1, Masahiro Watanabe2 and Masahide Kimoto2, (1)National Institute for Environmental Studies, Center for Global Environmental Research, Tsukuba, Japan, (2)Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
0708
 
Assessment of the Climate Vulnerabilities of the Arabian Peninsula
Talal Alharbi1, Mohamed Sultan2, Mohamed Ahmed2,3 and Kyle Chouinard2, (1)King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, (2)Western Michigan University, Kalamazoo, MI, United States, (3)Suez Canal University, Ismailia, Egypt
0709
 
Evidence of Causality Between the Atmospheric Concentration Level of Carbon Dioxide and Temperature
Kevin F Forbes, Catholic University, Washington, DC, United States
0710
 
Anthropogenic Influence on Multi-Decadal Changes in Hydrology of Western Canada
Mohammad Reza Najafi1, Sanjiv Kumar1, Francis W Zwiers1, Nathan P Gillett2, Markus Schnorbus1, Alex J Cannon1, Rajesh Shrestha1 and Arelia T Werner1, (1)University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada, (2)CCCma, Victoria, BC, Canada
0711
 
Attributing the Global Warming Slowdown of the Last Decade
Virginie Guemas, Institut Català de Ciències del Clima, Barcelona, Spain and Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats, Barcelona, Spain
0712
 
West African warming: Investigating Temperature Trends and their relation between Precipitation Trends over West African Sahel.
Mouhamed LY Jr, AGRHYMET Regional Center, Niamey, Niger
0713
 
The Fingerprint of Climate Trends on European Crop Yields
Frances Moore, Stanford Earth Sciences, Stanford, CA, United States and David B Lobell, Stanford University, Los Altos Hills, CA, United States
0714
 
Significant Anthropogenic-Induced Changes of Climate Classes Since 1950
Duo Chan and Qigang Wu, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
0715
 
Hiatus in global mean temperature: trend patterns inspected with MSU/AMSU and GNSS-RO satellite data
Johannes K Nielsen, Bo Christiansen, Hans Gleisner and Peter Thejll, Danish Meteorological Inst., Copenhagen, Denmark
0716
 
Dependence of Precipitation Extremes on Temperature over United States
Vittal H, Jitendra Singh, Subhankar Karmakar and Subimal Ghosh, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India
0717
 
Long-term variation of the typhoon trajectory pattern estimated from the typhoon best track data
Shinya Nakano, Kazue Ito and Genta Ueno, The Inst of Statistical Math, Tachikawa, Japan
0718
 
The influence of El-Niño Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation on secular rainfall variations in Hawai‘i
Abby G Frazier1, Oliver Elison Timm2 and Thomas W Giambelluca1, (1)University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Geography, Honolulu, HI, United States, (2)SUNY at Albany, Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY, United States
0719
 
Event Attribution: A fast Method based on Surrogate Fields.
Bo Christiansen, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen East, Denmark
0720
 
Surface Temperature Extremes and Detectable Trends in Northern Hemisphere Mid-Tropospheric Planetary Wave Pattern Occurrence and Persistence
Daniel E Horton, Deepti Singh, Daniel L Swain and Noah S Diffenbaugh, Stanford Earth Sciences, Environmental Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States
0721
 
Impacts of anthropogenic activities on climate change in arid and semiarid areas based on CMIP5 models
Tianbao Zhao and Chunxiang LI, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China
0722
 
Can precipitation help us attribute the temperature “hiatus”?
Kate Marvel, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States
0723
 
Identifying and Investigating the Late-1960s Interhemispheric SST Shift
Andrew Ronald Friedman, Institut Pierre Simon Laplace - IPSL / LOCEAN, Paris, France, Shih-Yu Lee, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, Yuwei Liu, Stanford University, Earth Sciences, Stanford, CA, United States and John C H Chiang, Univ California, Berkeley, CA, United States
 
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