Probability of Atmospheric Circulation Pattern Occurrence in Pre-Industrial, Historical, and Future Climates

Daniel E Horton1, Justin S Mankin2,3, Deepti Singh2,4, Daniel L Swain2, Nathaniel Johnson5 and Noah S Diffenbaugh6, (1)Northwestern University, Earth & Planetary Sciences, Evanston, United States, (2)Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, (3)Columbia University of New York, Ocean and Climate Physics, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, (4)Columbia University of New York, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, (5)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (6)Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, United States