A51H:
Identifying Links between the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation and Climate Extremes I Posters


Session ID#: 8915

Session Description:
Extreme weather events are often accompanied by substantial economic, societal, and public health impacts. Accumulating evidence indicates that anthropogenic climate change has and will continue to alter the frequency and/or magnitude of some extreme phenomena. Much on-going extreme event research straddles the meteorological, climatological, statistical, and impacts disciplines, and offers an exciting opportunity for interdisciplinary collaboration. As atmospheric dynamics generally drive intra-seasonal to inter-annual surface climate variability, research identifying links between large-scale atmospheric circulation, modes of atmospheric-oceanic variability, and the occurrence of extreme events is at the fore of these interdisciplinary efforts. This session aims to bring together researchers investigating dynamical, ingredients-based, and/or statistical linkages between the large-scale circulation and extreme event occurrence on multiple temporal scales in the recent past and projected future.  We invite submissions that explore these linkages through various methods, including principal component analysis, pattern clustering, internal/external forcing attribution, extreme value statistics, and/or new mechanistic approaches.
Primary Convener:  Deepti Singh, Stanford Earth Sciences, Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States
Conveners:  Julien Cattiaux, CNRM-GAME, Toulouse Cedex 01, France, Daniel E Horton, Northwestern University, Earth & Planetary Sciences, Evanston, IL, United States and Nathaniel Johnson, NOAA Princeton, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States
Chairs:  Deepti Singh, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States and Julien Cattiaux, CNRS, Paris Cedex 16, France
OSPA Liaison:  Daniel E Horton, Northwestern University, Earth & Planetary Sciences, Evanston, IL, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
Index Terms:

1620 Climate dynamics [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3364 Synoptic-scale meteorology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Climate Change Conundrum: Warmer World, Slower Circulation, but More Extremes (71511)
WonMoo Kim, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South) and Yong-Sang Choi, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, South Korea
Probability of Atmospheric Circulation Pattern Occurrence in Pre-Industrial, Historical, and Future Climates (72869)
Daniel E Horton1, Justin S Mankin2,3, Deepti Singh2,4, Daniel L Swain2, Nathaniel Johnson5 and Noah S Diffenbaugh6, (1)Northwestern University, Earth & Planetary Sciences, Evanston, IL, United States, (2)Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, (3)Columbia University of New York, Ocean and Climate Physics, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, (4)Columbia University of New York, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, (5)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (6)Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, United States
November Dipole Anomaly in Northern Extratropical Sea Level Pressure and its Linkage to the Preceding Wintertime Arctic Oscillation (63065)
Yeon-Woo Choi, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Cambridge, MA, United States and Joong-Bae Ahn, Pusan National University, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South)
Anti-Phase Variations of Atmospheric Mass between Eurasian Continent and North Pacific and the Related Boreal Winter Climate Anomalies over Eurasia (62514)
Qian Zhang, Zhaoyong Guan and Minggang Li, NUIST Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
Extreme Temperature Regimes during the Cool Season and their Associated Large-Scale Circulations (85630)
Zuowei Xie, Georgia Institute of Technology Main Campus, School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, United States
Recurring Cold Winters over the Gulf Stream and Implications for Northern Hemisphere Ocean Circulation (71337)
Sara Theresa Strey, Northland College, Ashland, WI, United States; Climate Prediction Center College Park, College Park, MD, United States
Fidelity of the Simulation of Non-stationary Climate Extremes in Low- and High- Resolution Climate Models (83362)
Salil Mahajan, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
Daily precipitation and tropical moisture exports across the eastern United States: an application of archetypal analysis to identify spatiotemporal structure (67055)
Scott Steinschneider, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States and Upmanu Lall, Columbia University of New York, Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering, New York, United States
Trends in extreme geopotential heights over North America: Another perspective to investigate extreme weather events (73390)
Fuyao Wang1, Stephen J Vavrus1, Jonathan E Martin2 and Jennifer Ann Francis3, (1)University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States, (2)University of Wisconsin-Madiso, Madison, WI, United States, (3)Woods Hole Research Center, Falmouth, MA, United States
Large Scale Influences on Drought and Extreme Precipitation Events in the United States (67434)
Michael G Bosilovich, Earth Sciences Division, Greenbelt, United States, Allison Collow, Universities Space Research Association Greenbelt, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Randal D Koster, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, United States and Andrew Eichmann, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Widespread, Very Heavy Precipitation Events in Contemporary and Scenario Summer Climates from NARCCAP Simulations (75007)
Sho Kawazoe, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States and William J Gutowski Jr, Iowa State University, Geological & Atmospheric Sciences, Ames, IA, United States
SOMs-Based Analysis of WRF Extreme Daily Precipitation in Alaska (79627)
Justin M Glisan, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States
Large-scale processes relevant to extreme hot and dry summer conditions in the South Central U.S.: Comparing observations with CMIP5 simulations (85553)
Jung Hee Ryu, Gangneung-Wonju National University, Institute for Disaster Prevention, Gangneung, Korea, Republic of (South) and Katharine Hayhoe, Texas Tech University, Climate Center, Lubbock, TX, United States
Synoptic-Dynamics of Extreme Cold Air Outbreaks Over the California Central Valley (63789)
Rui Zhang, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States and Richard Grotjahn, University of California Davis, Land, Air and Water Resources, Davis, United States
Persistent Cold Weather Events in the Central-Eastern North America (86310)
Zhenhua Li, Alan H Manson and Chris Meek, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
Multi-year Droughts and Pluvials over the Southwestern U.S. and Associated Circulations (75184)
Abayomi Abiodun Abatan, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States and William J Gutowski Jr, Iowa State University, Geological & Atmospheric Sciences, Ames, IA, United States
Summer 2015 Extremes over South Asia within the Historical Perspective (74259)
Deeksha Rastogi, Oak Ridge National Lab, Oak Ridge, TN, United States and Moetasim Ashfaq, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Computational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
Variability of Extreme Events in East Asia and their Dynamical Control: A Comparison Between Observation and Two High-Resolution Global Climate Models. (71535)
Nicolas Freychet1, Aurelie Duchez2, Chi-Hua Wu3, Chao An Chen4, Huang-Hsiung Hsu5, Joel Hirschi2 and Adrian New2, (1)School of Geosciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK, Edinburgh, United Kingdom, (2)National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom, (3)Research Center for Environmental Changes Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, (4)Academia Sinica, Research Center for Environmental Changes, Taipei, Taiwan, (5)Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan
Causing Factors for Extreme Precipitation in the Western Saudi-Arabian Peninsula (59283)
Mohammad M Alharbi, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15, United Kingdom and Gregor C Leckebusch, University of Birmingham, School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Birmingham, B15, United Kingdom
Observed decadal variability in precipitation and circulation over South America during austral summer (63613)
Marcia T Zilli, INPE National Institute for Space Research, Sao Jose dos Campos, Brazil and Leila V Carvalho, University of California Santa Barbara, Department of Geography, Santa Barbara, United States
ENHANCING EXTREME HEAT HEALTH-RELATED INTERVENTION AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES USING REMOTE SENSING ANALYSIS OF DAILY SURFACE TEMPERATURE, SURFACE OBSERVATION NETWORKS AND ECMWF REANALYSIS (62764)
Rocky Lee Garcia1, James F Booth2, David Hondula3, Dr. Kenton W Ross, PhD4, Amy Stuyvesant5, Geordi Alm3, Emma Baghel4 and NASA Develop: Arizona Health and Air Quality, (1)CUNY Graduate Center, New York, NY, United States, (2)CUNY City College of New York, Earth and Atmospheric Science, New York, United States, (3)Arizona State University, School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Tempe, AZ, United States, (4)NASA Langley Research Center, DEVELOP National Program, Hampton, VA, United States, (5)University of California Santa Barbara, Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
The Sudden Stratospheric Warming Atlas (70863)
Amy H Butler, NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory, University of Colorado, Boulder, United States, Jeremiah P Sjoberg, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States and Dian J Seidel, NOAA College Park, College Park, MD, United States

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