In the heat of the moment: Effectively engaging scientists and diverging science in hazard events.

Abstract:

Scientists are increasingly called upon to use their expertise to help minimize disasters stemming from natural and human induced hazards ranging from volcanoes, earthquakes and tsunamis to oil-spills. Decision-makers want scientists who collect and analyze data to be able to predict the likelihood and severity of a hazard occurrence. When there is an event, they look to scientists to find ways to ameliorate the consequences. Science cannot predict with the accuracy sought by scientists and scientists themselves are rarely aware of the cascading consequences that they are being asked to minimize. Importantly too, scientists differ in their interpretation of data and uncertainties. While these differences are the spark of science they are often the bane of disaster decisions. This presentation addresses the applicatoin of science in the midst of hazard crises. Using examples from several global disasters it explores how different techniques to deal with scientific uncertainties and diverging conclusions among scientists has been more or less successful. The presentation addresses methods and opportunities exist for effectively applying science during hazard events.