The Cascadia Paradox: Understanding Mantle Flow in the Cascadia Subduction System

Abstract:

The pattern of mantle flow in subduction systems, and the processes that control the mantle flow field, is a fundamental but still poorly understood aspect of subduction dynamics. Mantle flow plays a key role in controlling the transport of volatiles and melt in the wedge, deformation of the overriding plate, mass transfer between the upper and lower mantle, and the morphology and dynamics of slabs. The Cascadia subduction zone provides a compelling system in which to understand the controls on mantle flow, particularly given the dense geophysical observations provided by EarthScope, GeoPRISMS, the Cascadia Initiative, and related efforts. Cascadia is a particularly intriguing system because observations of seismic anisotropy, which provide relatively direct constraints on mantle flow, seem to yield contradictory views of the mantle flow field in different parts of the system. Observations of seismic anisotropy on the overriding plate apparently require a significant component of three-dimensional, toroidal flow around the slab edge, while new observations from offshore stations are compellingly explained with a simple two-dimensional entrained flow model. Recent evidence from seismic tomography for the fragmentation of the Cascadia slab at depth provides a further puzzle: how can a fragmented slab provide a driving force for either two-dimensional entrained flow or three-dimensional toroidal flow due to slab rollback? I will present a synthesis of recent observations of seismic anisotropy in the Cascadia subduction system, and how they can be integrated with constraints from geodynamical modeling, geochemistry, and the history and timing of Pacific Northwest volcanism. I will discuss the compelling but contradictory evidence for each of the endmember mantle flow models (two-dimensional entrained flow vs. three-dimensional toroidal flow) and explore possible avenues for resolving the Cascadia Paradox.