GC52B
Quantifying Model Uncertainties and Robustness in Climate Projections for Hydrological Applications: Perspectives from Climate and Hydrologic Scientists I

Friday, 18 December 2015: 10:20-12:20
3001 (Moscone West)
Primary Conveners:  Sanjiv Kumar, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada
Conveners:  Kimberly C Brumble, Indiana University Bloomington, History and Philosophy of Science, Bloomington, IN, United States, Venkatesh Merwade, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States and Kaveh Zamani, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States
Chairs:  Kimberly C Brumble, Indiana University Bloomington, History and Philosophy of Science, Bloomington, IN, United States, Venkatesh Merwade, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States and Sanjiv Kumar, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada
OSPA Liaisons:  Kaveh Zamani, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States
10:20
GC52B-01
Potential Bias in Projecting Future Regional Megadrought Risk: Insights From A Global Data-Model Framework (85489)
Jonathan T Overpeck, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
10:35
GC52B-02
Physical Mechanisms of the Precipitation Change in the Subtropics and Extratropics (Invited) (60040)
Brian Soden, University of Miami, Miami, FL, United States
10:50
GC52B-03
Potential Evapotranspiration as a Source of Uncertainty and Bias in Hydrologic Impact Analyses (Invited) (73549)
P C D Milly, USGS, Princeton, NJ, United States
11:05
GC52B-04
Characterization and Quantification of Uncertainty in the NARCCAP Regional Climate Model Ensemble and Application to Impacts on Water Systems (Invited) (70447)
Linda O Mearns, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
11:20
GC52B-05
Revealing and reducing uncertainties in climate impact assessments (Invited) (63708)
Martyn P Clark, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
11:35
GC52B-06
Understanding the time-varying importance of different uncertainty sources in hydrological modeling using sensitivity analysis (Invited) (67919)
Thorsten Wagener, University of Bristol, Civil Engineering, Bristol, United Kingdom and Francesca Pianosi, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
11:50
GC52B-07
A Hessian-Based Method for Uncertainty Quantification of Parameters of Terrestrial Water and Energy Balance Equations (Invited) (61613)
Leila Farhadi, George Washington University, Washington, DC, United States
12:05
GC52B-08
Comparing the decision-relevance and utility of alternative ensembles of climate projections in water management and other applications (Invited) (71485)
Robert J Lempert, RAND, Santa Monica, CA, United States
 
See more of: Global Environmental Change
<< Previous Session | Next Session >>