GC43C
Quantifying Uncertainty in Climate, Earth System, Integrated Assessment, and Impact Models and Observations II Posters

Thursday, 17 December 2015: 13:40-18:00
Poster Hall (Moscone South)
Primary Conveners:  Donald D Lucas, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States
Conveners:  Elisabeth A Lloyd, Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States, Jaideep Ray, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States and Linda O Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
Chairs:  Jaideep Ray, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States, Maoyi Huang, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division, Richland, WA, United States, Donald D Lucas, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States and Elisabeth A Lloyd, Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Jaideep Ray, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States
 
Sensitivity of land surface modeling to parameters: An uncertainty quantification method applied to the Community Land Model (82656)
Rui Mei1, Daniel M Ricciuto2, Jiafu Mao2, Forrest M Hoffman3 and Jitendra Kumar4, (1)Oak Ridge National Lab, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (2)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (3)University of California Irvine, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, (4)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
 
Bayesian calibration of the Community Land Model using a multi-chain Markov chain Monte Carlo method (65636)
Jaideep Ray1, Laura Swiler1, Maoyi Huang2 and Zhangshuan Hou3, (1)Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division, Richland, WA, United States, (3)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
 
Evaluation of Ability to Determine Transpiration Fraction from Stable Water Isotopes in a Bayesian Calibration Framework (85026)
Tony E Wong1, David C Noone2,3, William Kleiber1 and Aleya Kaushik2,4, (1)University of Colorado at Boulder, Applied Math, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)University of Colorado, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences and Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)Oregon State University, College of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, Corvallis, OR, United States, (4)University of Colorado at Boulder, Dept Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Parameter Sensitivity and Transferability Study Across Major US Watersheds (65574)
Huiying Ren, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
 
Estimation of the possible influence of future climate changes on biodiversity in terrestrial ecosystem (78175)
Hibiki M Noda, Kazuya Nishina and Akihiko Ito, NIES National Institute of Environmental Studies, Ibaraki, Japan
 
The spectroscopic foundation of CO2 climate forcing (62258)
Martin G Mlynczak1, Taumi Daniels1, David P Kratz2, William Collins3, Daniel Feldman3, James E Lawler4, Wilmer Anderson4, David W Fahey5 and Linda A Hunt6, (1)NASA Langley Research Ctr, Hampton, VA, United States, (2)NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA, United States, (3)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, (4)University of Wisconsin Madison, Physics, Madison, WI, United States, (5)NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)SSAI, Hampton, VA, United States
 
Constraints on equilibrium climate sensitivity using a reduced-order climate model (81853)
Alexandra K Jonko and Nathan M Urban, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States
 
Climate Stabilization at 2oC and “Net Zero” Emissions (66532)
Andrei P Sokolov1, Sergey Paltsev1, Henry Chen1, Martin Haigh2 and Ronald G Prinn3, (1)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Cambridge, MA, United States, (2)Shell Iternational Ltd, Shell Scenarios Team, London, United Kingdom, (3)MIT, Cambridge, MA, United States
 
Model Complexity of Global Climate: Could Arrhenius have Foreseen the Hiatus? (67653)
Vaughan R Pratt, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
 
CMIP5 Global Climate Model Performance Evaluation and Climate Scenario Development over the South-Central United States (83815)
Derek H Rosendahl1, David E Rupp2, Renee A Mcpherson1 and Berrien Moore III1, (1)University of Oklahoma Norman Campus, Norman, OK, United States, (2)Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States
 
Do CMIP5 Climate Models Reproduce Observed Historical Trends in Temperature and Precipitation over the Continental United States? (73190)
Jinny Lee1,2, Paul C Loikith1, Duane Edward Waliser1 and Kenneth Kunkel3, (1)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States, (2)California State University Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites (CICS), North Carolina State University, and NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), Asheville, NC, United States
 
Estimating transient climate response using consistent temperature reconstruction methods in models and observations (84049)
Mark Richardson, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, Kevin Cowtan, University of York, York, United Kingdom, Ed Hawkins, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom and Martin Stolpe, ETH Zurich, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, Switzerland
 
Robustness of Regional Patterns of Change in Multi-model Studies; Beyond Model Spread (71989)
Jens H Christensen, Marianne S. Madsen, Peter L Langen and Fredrik Boberg, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark
 
Quantifying and Constraining Structural Uncertainty in Future Climate Projections over India (62451)
Ram Singh and Krishna M Achutarao, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, India
 
Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis in the CICE v5.1 Sea Ice Model (84250)
Nathan M Urban and Jorge Rolando Urrego-Blanco, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States
 
Polar predictability: exploring the influence of GCM and regional model uncertainty on future ice sheet climates (80503)
David B Reusch, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Department of Earth and Environmental Science, Socorro, NM, United States
 
Evaluating Consistency in the Ocean Model Component of the Community Earth System Model  (75264)
Yong Hu, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China and Dorit Hammerling, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Observationally-Based Data/Model Metrics from the Southern Ocean Climate Model Atlas (81834)
Jordan Abell, Joellen L Russell and Paul J Goodman, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
 
Detecting Emergence of Acidification and Warming as Stressors for Coral Reef Regions using Earth System Models (81944)
Alicia Taylor Menendez, Princeton Environmental Institute, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
Using nudged simulations to investigate parameter sensitivities in CAM5 (76947)
Guangxing Lin1, Kai Zhang2, Yun Qian2, Hui Wan2 and Steven Ghan2, (1)Pacific Northwest National Lab, Richland, WA, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
 
UQ-Guided Selection of Physical Parameterizations in Climate Models (70862)
Donald D Lucas, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States
 
CAM5 Climate Model Calibration Across Multiple Spatial Resolutions (83786)
Vera Bulaevskaya and Donald D Lucas, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States
 
Resolution dependence of simulated extreme wave climate in the North Atlantic in a changing climate. (83264)
Ben Timmermans, Dáithí A Stone, Michael F Wehner and Hari Krishnan, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States
 
See more of: Global Environmental Change
<< Previous Session | Next Session >>