Lingering effects of preceding strong El Niño events on the typhoon activity in early summer: Case study of sub-seasonal and seasonal predictions in 2016

Yuhei Takaya1, Yutaro Kubo2, Munehiko Yamaguchi3, Frederic Vitart4, Shoji Hirahara2 and Shuhei Maeda3, (1)Meteorological Research Institute, Department of Atmosphere, Ocean, and Earth System Modeling Research, Ibaraki, Japan, (2)Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan, (3)Meteorological Research Institute, Ibaraki, Japan, (4)ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom