A43C:
Dynamics, Observations, and Predictability in Light of the Recent 2015–2016 El Niño Event V Posters
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Session ID#: 16179
Session Description:
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which arises from tropical ocean-atmosphere interactions, is the world's dominant climate signal on seasonal-to-interannual timescales. Despite progress in understanding its dynamics, ENSO still manages to surprise us. Examples include the curious case of the much weaker than expected 2014/15 El Niño, and the extreme (by some measures) 2015/16 El Niño. The international community is also actively engaged in redesigning the Tropical Pacific Observing System (TPOS2020), as well as deepening the understanding of ENSO through numerical sensitivity experiments and multi-model inter comparisons (e.g. CMIP5/CMIP6) -- in hopes of improving both seasonal predictions and decadal-to-centennial projections of the phenomenon. This session welcomes contributions on all aspects of ENSO, including dynamics, observations, impacts, predictability, climate model simulations and forecasts, paleo variability, and possible future changes.
Primary Convener: Malte F Stuecker, University of Hawai’i at Mānoa, International Pacific Research Center, Honolulu, United States
Conveners: Matthew Newman, University of Colorado/CIRES and NOAA/PSL, Boulder, United States, Andrew Thorne Wittenberg, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ, United States and Antonietta Capotondi, University of Colorado, CIRES, Boulder, United States
Chairs: Matthew Newman, University of Colorado/CIRES and NOAA/PSL, Boulder, United States and Nicholas A Bond, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States
OSPA Liaison: Robert Stabler Webb, NOAA Boulder, Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States
Abstracts Submitted to this Session:
J. Ryan Spackman1, Randall M Dole2, Robert Stabler Webb3, Chris D Barnet4, Joseph J Barsugli5, Robert Cifelli2, Gilbert P Compo6, Christopher Cox6, Lisa S Darby2, Chris W Fairall7, Leslie M Hartten6, Andrew Hoell2, Martin P Hoerling2, Janet M Intrieri8, Laura T Iraci9, Paul J. Johnston6, George N Kiladis2, Elena Konopleva-Akish1, Matthew Newman10, Ju-Mee Ryoo11, Catherine Anne Smith12, Allen B White13, Gary A Wick2, Daniel E Wolfe6 and Klaus Wolter6, (1)Science and Technology Corporation, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)NOAA Boulder, Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)Science and Technology Corporation (STC), Columbia, MD, United States, (5)NOAA Boulder, ESRL, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (7)NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States, (8)National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States, (9)NASA Ames Research Center, Atmospheric Science Branch, Moffett Field, United States, (10)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, United States, (11)NASA Ames Research Center/Science and Technology Corporation, Moffett Field, United States, (12)University of Colorado at Boulder/NOAA PSL, Boulder, CO, United States, (13)NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States
Chris W Fairall, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States
Steven Pawson, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, United States, Young-Kwon Lim, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Robin M Kovach, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, GMAO, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Guillaume Vernieres, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, United States
Svetla M Hristova-Veleva1, Tong Lee2, Bryan W Stiles3, Ernesto Rodriguez4, Joe J Turk1 and Ziad S Haddad5, (1)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, United States, (2)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, (3)Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, United States, (4)JPL/NASA/Caltech, Pasadena, CA, United States, (5)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, United States
Clark j Weaver, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College PARK, United States
Karen Hepler Rosenlof, Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, Melody A Avery, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA, United States, Sean M Davis, University of Colorado / CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States, Ru-Shan Gao, NOAA ESRL Chemical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, United States and Troy D Thornberry, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
Robin M Kovach1, Anna Borovikov2, Jelena Marshak3, Steven Pawson4 and Guillaume Vernieres2, (1)NASA, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (2)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (3)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, GMAO, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (4)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, United States
Mingyue Chen, NOAA College Park, College Park, MD, United States and Arun Kumar, NOAA/NCEP, Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD, United States
Aaron F Z Levine, NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, WA, United States and Michael J McPhaden, NOAA Seattle, Seattle, WA, United States
Huang-Hsiung Hsu, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan and Chi-Cherng Hong, University of Taipei, Taipei, Taiwan
Kenneth W Lamb, Cal Poly Pomona, Pomona, CA, United States, Jessica V Fayne, University of South Carolina Columbia, Columbia, SC, United States, Ajay Kalra, Southern Illinois University Carbondale, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carbondale, IL, United States, William P Miller, NOAA, Boulder, United States, Venkataraman Lakshmi, University of Virginia, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Charlottesville, United States, Glenn A Tootle, University of Alabama, Department of Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering, Tuscaloosa, AL, United States and Thomas Piechota, University of Nevada Las Vegas, Las Vegas, NV, United States
Yuhei Takaya1, Yutaro Kubo2, Munehiko Yamaguchi3, Frederic Vitart4, Shoji Hirahara2 and Shuhei Maeda3, (1)Meteorological Research Institute, Department of Atmosphere, Ocean, and Earth System Modeling Research, Ibaraki, Japan, (2)Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan, (3)Meteorological Research Institute, Ibaraki, Japan, (4)ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom
Yi-Kai Wu, Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan
Xiaohui Tang1, Yilong Lyu1, Fan Wang2 and Mingkui Li3, (1)Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves (KLOCAW), Qingdao, China, (2)Institute of Oceanology, Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves, Qingdao, China, (3)Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China
Mark A Merrifield, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, United States, Samantha Stevenson, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, Brian Powell, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Oceanography, Honolulu, United States and Kim M Cobb, Georgia Institute of Technology, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, United States
Feng Ma, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China and Aizhong Ye, Beijing Normal University, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing, China
Kaustubh Thirumalai, Brown University, Providence, RI, United States, Pedro N DiNezio, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States, Yuko Okumura, University of Texas at Austin, Institute for Geophysics, Austin, United States and Clara Deser, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States
