C31B:
The Future of Ice in the Polar World: Using Past and Present Data to Prepare for Rapid Change Posters

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Session ID#: 13657

Session Description:
The physical structure of the polar world is changing with enormous consequences to the polar and subpolar biological communities. Climatic and physical changes are co-occurring with shifting geopolitical seascapes, emergent marine mammal conservation and fisheries needs, and humanitarian crises for Arctic communities. Emergent toolkits are needed to confront the scale of change to which polar environments are committed. This session welcomes physical science contributions, including modern in situ and remote sensing observations, climate models, or paleoclimate and paleoceanographic archives, all of which reveal insights into the scale, rapidity, geographic extent, and novelty of on-the-ground polar change. We welcome contributions on emergent data gaps and logistical barriers to implementing scientific monitoring programs in the polar world. This session will uniquely focus on using polar datasets to address the future of environmental decision-making in sensitive regions and will bring together a physical science community that can concretely contribute to this global crisis.
Primary Convener:  Sarah E Myhre, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States
Conveners:  Ethan G Hyland, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States and Carli A Arendt, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Los Alamos, NM, United States
Chairs:  Regina Carns, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States; Applied Physics Laboratory University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States and Sarah E Myhre, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Ethan G Hyland, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States
Co-Organized with:
Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, Global Environmental Change, Ocean Sciences, and Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology

Cross-Listed:
  • PA - Public Affairs

Proposed Co-Organized Session with:
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
  • PP - Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology
Index Terms:

0738 Ice [CRYOSPHERE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4813 Ecological prediction [OCEANOGRAPHY: BIOLOGICAL AND CHEMICAL]
4901 Abrupt/rapid climate change [PALEOCEANOGRAPHY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Changes in the Seasonal Sea-Ice Cycle and Implications for Coastal Communities in Alaska: Community-Based Observations, Remote Sensing Data and Participatory Scenarios Analysis (Invited) (123048)
Hajo Eicken1, Mark A Johnson2, Olivia Astillero Lee1, Mette R Kaufman1, Marc Mueller-stoffels3 and Amy Lauren Lovecraft4, (1)University of Alaska Fairbanks, International Arctic Research Center, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (2)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Institute of Marine Science, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (3)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Alaska Center for Energy and Power, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (4)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Department of Political Science, Fairbanks, AK, United States
Sea Ice Evolution in the Pacific Arctic by Selected CMIP5 Models: the Present and the Future (125796)
Muyin Wang, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, United States, Qiong Yang, University of Washington /JISAO and NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA, United States, James E Overland, NOAA Seattle, Seattle, WA, United States and Phyllis J Stabeno, NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, WA, United States
A Quantitative Proxy for Sea-Ice Based on Diatoms: A Cautionary Tale. (137216)
Anna Nesterovich and Beth Caissie, Iowa State University, Department. of Geological and Atmospheric Sciences, Ames, United States
Linear Additive Impacts of Arctic Sea Ice Reduction and La Niña on the NorthernHemisphere Winter Climate (137546)
Shuanglin Li and Zhe Han, Insititute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Changes in evaporation and potential hazards associated with ice accretion in a “New Arctic” (Invited) (147657)
Linette Boisvert, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Cryospheric Sciences Laboratory, Greenbelt, MD, United States; Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College PARK, MD, United States
Marine sedimentary coring and high-quality, multi-proxy records in the high-latitude North Pacific: a synthesis of paleoceanographic cruise and research effort (152527)
Marisa Julia Borreggine1, Sarah E Myhre2, Allison Smith-Mislan1, Catherine V Davis3 and Curtis A. Deutsch4, (1)University of Washington Seattle Campus, School of Oceanography, Seattle, WA, United States, (2)University of Washington, Future of Ice Initiative and the School of Oceanography, Seattle, WA, United States, (3)University of California Davis, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Davis, CA, United States, (4)University of Washington Seattle Campus, School of Oceanography, Seattle, United States
Thermal characteristics of soil and water during summer at King Sejong Station, King George Island, Antarctica (156951)
Hyoun Soo Lim, Pusan National University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South), Jin-Yong Lee, Kangwon National University, Critical Zone Frontier Research Laboratory, Chuncheon, Korea, Republic of (South) and Hoil Yoon, Korea Polar Research Institute, Incheon, Korea, Republic of (South)
Paleoceanographic Synthesis of Abrupt Sea Ice and Temperature Changes in the Subarctic Pacific and Marginal Seas through the Past 20,000 Years (159700)
Catherine V Davis, University of California Davis, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Davis, CA, United States, Sarah E Myhre, University of Washington, Future of Ice Initiative and the School of Oceanography, Seattle, WA, United States, Marisa Julia Borreggine, University of Washington Seattle Campus, School of Oceanography, Seattle, WA, United States, Beth Caissie, Iowa State University, Department. of Geological and Atmospheric Sciences, Ames, United States, Summer Kate Praetorius, Carnegie Institution for Science Stanford, Stanford, CA, United States, Kota Katsuki, Shimane University, Matsue, Japan, Russell Moffitt, Marine Conservation Institute, Washington, DC, United States and Curtis A. Deutsch, University of Washington Seattle Campus, School of Oceanography, Seattle, United States
Tracking RAFOS-enabled, under-ice Argo profiling floats using a Kalman smoothing technique (183447)
Paul Chamberlain, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States, Lynne D Talley, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, United States, Bruce D Cornuelle, University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States, Cathrine Hancock, Florida State University, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Institute, Tallahassee, FL, United States, Kevin G Speer, Department Scientific Computing, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Institute, Florida State University, Tallahassee, United States and Stephen Riser, University of Washington, School of Oceanography, Seattle, United States
Variability in sea ice extent and primary productivity at IODP Site U1339 (Umnak Plateau, Bering Sea) during Marine Isotope Stage 11: a multi-proxy approach (186591)
Natalie Sarah Thompson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States and Beth Caissie, Iowa State University, Department. of Geological and Atmospheric Sciences, Ames, United States
History of ice-rafting in the Arctic Ocean during Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 2 and MIS 4 (190176)
Dr. Shannon Cofield, PhD, Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Marine Minerals Division, Sterling, United States, Dennis A Darby, Old Dominion University, Ocean and Earth Sciences, Norfolk, United States and Kristen K St John, James Madison University, Harrisonburg, VA, United States
Changes in Ocean Circulation with an Ice-Free Arctic: Reconstructing Early Holocene Arctic Ocean Circulation Using Geochemical Signals from Individual Neogloboquadrina pachyderma (sinistral) Shells (197376)
Caitlin Livsey, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States, Howard J Spero, University of California Davis, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Davis, CA, United States and Reinhard Kozdon, Rutgers University New Brunswick, New Brunswick, NJ, United States
Radiative Transfer Modeling to Estimate the Impact of CDOM on Light Absorption within Changing Arctic Sea Ice (198925)
Regina Carns, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, Bonnie Light, Applied Physics Laboratory University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States and Karen E Frey, Clark University, Graduate School of Geography, Worcester, MA, United States

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