GC53E:
Toward Better Understanding of the Impacts of Climate Variability: From Ecosystem Processes to Agricultural Adaptation and Decision Making II Posters

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Session ID#: 13898

Session Description:
Climate variability (CV) is a critical driver of climate change impacts to both managed and unmanaged ecosystems. To properly understand its ecological impacts, it’s necessary to quantify how ecosystems have historically responded to climate variability, and to characterize the uncertainty in projected impacts. In agricultural systems, assessing impacts of climate variability also requires understanding dynamics of farmer adaptation and decision-making. Here we seek new efforts to quantify both historical and future impacts of climate variability on unmanaged ecosystems and in agriculture, the most extensive managed ecosystem: e.g., i) empirical/process-based methods for estimating CV impacts to ecosystems across multiple spatio-temporal scales; ii) identifying key sources of CV and methodological factors lead to uncertainty; iii) new CV forecasting methods at relevant scales for understanding ecosystem response; iv) translating forecasts into useful decision support for natural resource managers and farmers; v) attributing farmer decisions to CV viz a viz socioeconomic and ecological circumstances.
Primary Convener:  Amor V M Ines, Michigan State University, Department of Plant, Soil and Microbial Sciences, East Lansing, MI, United States
Conveners:  Lyndon D Estes, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, Jeff Atkins, Virginia Commonwealth University, Biology, Richmond, United States and Erin Swails, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, United States
Chairs:  Erin Swails, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, United States and Jeff Atkins, Virginia Commonwealth University, Biology, Richmond, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Jeff Atkins, Virginia Commonwealth University, Biology, Richmond, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • H - Hydrology
  • IN - Earth and Space Science Informatics
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Index Terms:

1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1640 Remote sensing [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1807 Climate impacts [HYDROLOGY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Assessment of Variable Planting Date as an Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Variability in Sri Lanka (126751)
Ashley Rivera, Vanderbilt University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Nashville, TN, United States, Thushara Gunda, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States and George M Hornberger, Vanderbilt University, Vanderbilt Institute for Energy & Environment, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Earth & Environmental Sciences, Nashville, TN, United States
Regional agricultural susceptibility to climate variability: A district level analysis of Maharashtra, India (137164)
Deepika Swami, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India, Devanathan Parthasarathy, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Department of Humanities and Social Science, Centre for Climate Studies, Mumbai, India and Prashant Dave, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Climate studies, Mumbai, India
Vulnerability and Tradeoffs of Dairy Farmers to the Impacts of Climate Variability and Change in India (150985)
Aparna Radhakrishnan1, Jancy Gupta1 and Dileepkumar R2, (1)National Dairy Research Institute, Trivandrum, India, (2)Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, India
­Weather and climate change drivers of agricultural pesticide use in the US (167217)
Ashley Larsen, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States and Olivier Deschenes, University of California Santa Barbara, Economics, Santa Barbara, United States
Adaptation Pathway of Low Impact Development Planning under Climate Change for a Sustainable Rural Community (173659)
Pei-Yuan Chen and Ching-pin Tung, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
Parsing multiple processes of high temperature impacts on corn/soybean yield using a newly developed CLM-APSIM modeling framework (176919)
Bin Peng, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, United States; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Department of Crop Sciences, Urbana, United States, Kaiyu Guan, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Agroecosystem Sustainability Center, Institute for Sustainability, Energy, and Environment, Urbana, United States and Min Chen, Carnegie Institution for Science Stanford, Department of Global Ecology, Stanford, CA, United States
Assessing the Role of Climate Variability on Liver Fluke Risk in the UK Through Mechanistic Hydro-Epidemiological Modelling (184421)
Ludovica Beltrame1, Toby Dunne1, Hannah Rose2, Josephine Walker3, Eric Morgan4, Peter Vickerman3 and Thorsten Wagener5, (1)University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom, (2)University of Liverpool, Institute of Infection and Global Health, Liverpool, United Kingdom, (3)University of Bristol, Bristol Medical School, Bristol, United Kingdom, (4)Queen’s University Belfast, School of Biological Sciences, Belfast, United Kingdom, (5)University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
Can we forecast farmers’ yields? The relationships between rainfall variability, farmers’ expectations, and actual yields in a tropical dryland (188891)
Zhenzhong Zeng, Princeton University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States, Di Tian, Auburn University, Department of Crop, Soil & Environmental Sciences, Auburn, United States, Lyndon D Estes, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, Tom P Evans, Indiana University Bloomington, Center for the Study of Institutions, Populations, and Environmental Change (CIPEC) and Department of Geography, Bloomington, IN, United States, Eric F Wood, Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States and Kelly K Caylor, University of California Santa Barbara, Department of Geography, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
Examining Adaptations to Water Stress Among Farming Households in Sri Lanka's Dry Zone (190517)
Nicholas E. Williams and Amanda Carrico, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
Participatory data collection and monitoring of agricultural pest dynamics for climate-resilient coffee production using Tiko’n, a generic tool to develop agroecological food web models (196117)
Marcela Rojas1, Julien Jean Malard1, Jan F Adamowski2 and Héctor Tuy3, (1)McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada, (2)McGill University, Department of Bioresource Engineering, Montreal, QC, Canada, (3)Universidad Rafael Landívar, Instituto de Investigación y Proyección sobre Ambiente Natural y Sociedad (IARNA), Guatemala City, Guatemala
Assessing Climate Change Perceptions, Management Strategies, and Information Needs for Indiana Agricultural and Forestry Sectors (197176)
Keith Aric Cherkauer, Purdue University, Agricultural & Biological Engineering, West Lafayette, IN, United States and Natalie Chin, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States
Survival or productivity? Global synthesis of root and tuber production during drought (125060)
Stefani Daryanto, Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis, Earth Sciences, Indianapolis, IN, United States, Prof. Lixin Wang, PhD, Indiana University Indianapolis, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Indianapolis, United States and Pierre-Andre Jacinthe, Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis, Indianapolis, United States

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