NH21B:
Multidisciplinary Methods to Estimate the Impact of Climate-Related Extreme Events I

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Session ID#: 16800

Session Description:
Scientific evidence points to a future where extreme events related to climate change are likely to increase both in frequency and intensity. Despite this well-established fact society is often ill prepared to deal with the consequences of extreme events. This is true for most countries across all income levels. Two main reasons stand out for this. First, extreme events are not fully understood in terms of how climate variables interact with one another. Extremes are often viewed as one dimensional phenomena (temperature, wind, etc.) when in fact they are almost always multidimensional.  Second, collaboration between disciplines in terms of developing research methods to result in improved preparedness for climate related extremes are in a nascent stage.

This session will bring together climate and social scientists that are engaged in collaborative efforts that result in society’s ability to prepare and cope with extreme event occurrence.

Session Description - en français: 14123. Title: Monitoring, Prediction, Mitigation, and Analysis of Hydroclimatic Extremes.

Primary Convener:  Federico Castillo, University of California Berkeley, Environmental Science, Policy and Management, Berkeley, CA, United States
Conveners:  Michael F Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, Francisco Alpizar, Tropical Agricultural Research and Higher Education Center, Turrialba, Costa Rica and Armando |Sánchez Vargas, National Autonomous University of Mexico, Institute for Economic Research, Ciudad DE Armería, Mexico
Chairs:  Federico Castillo, University of California Berkeley, Environmental Science, Policy and Management, Berkeley, CA, United States and Michael F Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Michael F Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • PA - Public Affairs
Index Terms:

1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4323 Human impact [NATURAL HAZARDS]
6304 Benefit-cost analysis [POLICY SCIENCES]
6699 General or miscellaneous [PUBLIC ISSUES]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

The Effects of Extreme Temperature Events on Human Mortality in Europe: Winners and Losers (129605)
Steffen Merte, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States
Climate Change Impacts on Peak Electricity Consumption: US vs. Europe. (Invited) (181309)
Maximilian Auffhammer, University of California Berkeley, Agriculture and Resource Economics, Berkeley, United States
Advancing flood risk analysis by integrating adaptive behaviour in large-scale flood risk assessments (134015)
Toon Haer1, Wouter Botzen1 and Jeroen Aerts2, (1)Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands, (2)Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Amsterdam, Netherlands
Economic Effectiveness of The Florida Building Code (168181)
James Done, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, Jeffrey Czajkowski, Wharton Risk Management and Decision Processes Center, Philadelphia, United States and Kevin Simmons, Aerospace and Innovation Academy, Palm Beach Gardens, FL, United States
Agent Based Modeling Simulation for Land Use Change and Cost-Benefit Analysis of Land Management Policies in the Context of Extreme Events (141479)
Armando |Sánchez Vargas, National Autonomous University of Mexico, Institute for Economic Research, Ciudad DE Armería, Mexico
FOOD SECURITY AND EXTREME EVENTS: EVIDENCE FROM SMALLHOLDER FARMERS IN CENTRAL AMERICA (184723)
Milagro Saborio-Rodriguez1,2, Francisco Alpizar1, Celia Harvey3, Ruth Martinez3, Raffaele Vignola1, Barbara Viguera1 and Tabare Capitan1, (1)Tropical Agricultural Research and Higher Education Center, Turrialba, Costa Rica, (2)University of Costa Rica, San Jose, Costa Rica, (3)Conservation International, Arlington, VA, United States
Assessing the Impacts of Multiple Breadbasket Failures (Invited) (184767)
Anthony Janetos, Boston University, The Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, Boston, MA, United States and John Patrick Casellas Connors, Boston University, Pardee Center, Boston, MA, United States
Armed-Conflict Risks Enhanced by Climate-Related Disasters in Ethnically Fractionalized Countries (185736)
Reik V Donner, Magdeburg-Stendal University of Applied Sciences, Magdeburg, Germany, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Climate Analytics GmbH, Berlin, Germany, Jonathan Friedemann Donges, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Earth Resilience Science Unit, Potsdam, Germany and John Schellnhuber, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany

See more of: Natural Hazards