An 'Observational Large Ensemble' to compare observed and modeled temperature trend uncertainty due to internal variability.

Andrew N Poppick, Carleton College, Mathematics and Statistics, Northfield, MN, United States, Karen A McKinnon, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Etienne Dunn-Sigouin, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, United States and Clara Deser, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States
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