Evaluating sub-seasonal skill in probabilistic forecasts of Atmospheric Rivers and associated extreme events
Aneesh Subramanian, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States, David Lavers, European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom, Mio Matsueda, University of Oxford, Department of Physics, Oxford, United Kingdom, Shraddhanand Shukla, UC Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, Daniel R Cayan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Division of Climate, Atmospheric Sciences, and Physical Oceanography, La Jolla, United States and Marty Ralph, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E), La Jolla, United States
