A11S:
Tropical Cyclones: Observations, Modeling, and Predictability I

Submit an Abstract to this Session



Session ID#: 31036

Session Description:
Tropical cyclones are one of the most destructive weather systems on Earth and have significant social and economic impacts. In this session, we solicit abstracts on observational analysis and numerical modeling studies that help to advance our understanding of the physics, dynamics, and predictability of tropical cyclones. In particular, abstracts are encouraged on tropical cyclone formation, structure, intensity change and extratropical transition.
Primary Convener:  Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Department of Climate, Meteorology, & Atmospheric Sciences (CliMAS), Urbana, United States
Conveners:  Melinda Peng, Naval Research Lab Monterey, Marine Meteorology, Monterey, CA, United States, Patrick Harr, National Science Foundation, Arlington, United States and Scott A Braun, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Chairs:  Patrick Harr, National Science Foundation, Arlington, United States, Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, United States and Chanh Q. Kieu, Indiana University, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Bloomington, IN, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

3315 Data assimilation [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3360 Remote sensing [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3372 Tropical cyclones [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Tropical Cyclone Intensity in Global Models (Invited) (217929)
Christopher A Davis, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, Wei Wang, Nanjing Institute of Geology and Palaeontology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing, China and David Ahijevych, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
Multi-scale Sensitivity and Predictability of Hurricane Joaquin (2015) Illuminated Through Adjoint Studies (216176)
James D Doyle, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, United States, Daniel Holdaway, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Clark M Amerault, NRL, Monterey, CA, United States
The impact of underwater glider observations in the forecast of Hurricane Gonzalo (2014) (233037)
Gustavo Jorge Goni1, Ricardo M. Domingues2, Hyun-Sook Kim3, Ricardo M. Domingues4, George R Halliwell Jr5, Francis Bringas4, Julio M Morell6, Luis Pomales7 and Rebecca Baltes8, (1)NOAA Miami, Miami, FL, United States, (2)National Centers For Environmental Prediction-Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD, United States, (3)IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NOAA, College Park, MD, United States, (4)Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Miami, FL, United States, (5)NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Miami, FL, United States, (6)University of Puerto Rico Mayaguez, Caribbean Coastal Ocean Observing System, Mayaguez, United States, (7)University of Puerto Rico Mayagüez Campus, Marine Sciences, Mayagüez, PR, United States, (8)Integrated Ocean Observing System, Silver Spring, DC, United States
Moist Thermodynamics of Tropical Cyclone Formation and Intensification in High-Resolution Climate Models (254361)
Allison A Wing, Florida State University, Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science, Tallahassee, United States, Suzana J. Camargo, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States, Adam H Sobel, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory and Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, New York, United States, Daehyun Kim, Seoul National University, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul, South Korea, Yumin Moon, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, Michael G Bosilovich, Earth Sciences Division, Greenbelt, United States; NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Hiroyuki Murakami, NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States, Kevin A Reed, Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, United States, Gabriel A Vecchi, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, Michael F Wehner, Applied Mathematics and Computational Research Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, United States; Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, Colin M. Zarzycki, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate & Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States and Ming Zhao, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States
Predictive Skill and Predictability of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclogenesis in Different Synoptic Flow Regimes (240873)
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Department of Climate, Meteorology, & Atmospheric Sciences (CliMAS), Urbana, United States, Weiwei Li, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, United States, Melinda Peng, Naval Research Lab, Monterey, CA, United States, Xianan Jiang, JIFRESSE/UCLA, Pasadena, CA, United States, Ron McTaggart-Cowan, Numerical Weather Prediction Research Section, Meteorological Service of Canada, Dorval, QC, Canada and Christopher A Davis, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States
Effects of parameterized boundary layer structure on the rapid intensification of Hurricane Earl (2010) in shear (251530)
Jun Zhang, University of Miami, CIMAS, Miami, FL, United States; NOAA/AOML/Hurricane Research Division, Miami, United States and Robert F Rogers, NOAA/AOML/Hurricane Research Division, Miami, FL, United States

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