Volcanic eruption time forecasting using a stochastic enhancement of the Failure Forecast Method
Andrea Bevilacqua1, Abani K Patra2, E Bruce Pitman3, Marcus I Bursik4, Flora Giudicepietro5, Giovanni Macedonio6, Augusto Neri7 and Greg Valentine1, (1)University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, United States, (2)University at Buffalo, Buffalo, United States, (3)University at Buffalo, Department of Materials Design and Innovation, Buffalo, NY, United States, (4)University at Buffalo, Department of Earth Sciences, Buffalo, NY, United States, (5)Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Osservatorio Vesuviano, Napoli, Italy, (6)INGV, Napoli, Italy, (7)INGV National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Pisa, Italy