Prediction and predictability of tropical intraseasonal convection: seasonal dependence and the Maritime Continent prediction barrier


Shuguang Wang, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States, Adam H Sobel, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory and Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, New York, United States, Michael Tippett, Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, Columbia University, New York, United States and Frederic Vitart, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield, United Kingdom