Combining perturbed physics ensembles with statistical emulation to explore model process sensitivity and constrain uncertainty in projections


Philip Mote1, Linnia Hawkins2, David E Rupp3, Sihan Li4, Doug J McNeall5, Sarah Naomi Sparrow4, Richard Arthur Betts5 and David Wallom6, (1)Oregon Climate Change Research Institute, Corvallis, OR, United States, (2)Oregon State University, Forest Ecosystems and Society, Corvallis, OR, United States, (3)Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States, (4)Oxford e-Research Centre, Oxford University, Oxford, United Kingdom, (5)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (6)University of Oxford, OeRC, Oxford, United Kingdom