B41N:
Ecological Forecasting in the Earth System I Posters
Submit an Abstract to this Session
Session ID#: 47146
Session Description:
How are ecosystems and the services they provide going to change in the future? How do human decisions affect this trajectory? In a world facing rapid environmental change, these are the most pressing questions facing the biogeosciences. These are also fundamentally questions about forecasting. Due to advances in data availability, models, statistics, and policy, the time is ripe for rapid progress in making the biogeosciences more predictive. Furthermore, a forecasting approach will not only improve the biogeosciences more quickly, but will make it more relevant to society. That said, there are many conceptual and technical challenges to improving our ability to make predictions, such as the need for improvements in theories and models, data assimilation, targeted reductions in data deficiencies, and the quantification, propagation, and analysis of uncertainties. This session aims to highlight both methodological and application-based research on forecasting biogeochemistry, biogeophysics, and ecology across both terrestrial and aquatic systems.
Primary Convener: Michael Dietze, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
Conveners: Quinn Thomas, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Forest Resources and Environmental Conservation, Blacksburg, VA, United States and Andrew M Fox, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, United States
Primary Liaison: Michael Dietze, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
Chairs: Michael Dietze, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States, Quinn Thomas, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Forest Resources and Environmental Conservation, Blacksburg, VA, United States and Andrew M Fox, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, United States
OSPA Liaison: Andrew M Fox, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, United States
Abstracts Submitted to this Session:
Jonathan Giezendanner1, Enrico Bertuzzo2, Damiano Pasetto1, Antoine Guisan3 and Andrea Rinaldo4, (1)Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Lausanne, Laboratory of Ecohydrology, Lausanne, Switzerland, (2)Ca' Foscari University, Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Venice, Italy, (3)University of Lausanne, Department of Ecology and Evolution, Lausanne, Switzerland, (4)École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland
Bo Zhou, UCLA, Culver City, United States and Greg S Okin, University of California Los Angeles, Department of Geography, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Joe Shannon, Michigan Technological University, School of Forest Resources and Environmental Sciences, Houghton, United States, Randy Kolka, USDA Forest Service Northern Research Station, Grand Rapids, United States and Fengjing Liu, Michigan Technological University, College of Forest Resources and Environmental Science, Houghton, MI, United States
Daniel Kozar, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, University Park, PA, United States and Li Li, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University Park, PA, United States
Avery Cohn, Tufts University, The Fletcher School, Medford, MA, United States, Sally E Thompson, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Berkeley, CA, United States and David Dralle, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station, Davis, United States
Guan Wang, Beijing Forestry University, School of Soil and Water Conservation, Beijing, China, Junran Jimmy Li, University of Tulsa, Geosciences, Tulsa, OK, United States and Sujith Ravi, Temple University, Earth & Environmental Science, Philadelphia, PA, United States
Karun Pandit, Boise State University, Boise, ID, United States, Hamid Dashti, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Global Change Research Laboratory, Madison, United States, Nancy F Glenn, Boise State Univ, Boise, United States, Alejandro N Flores, Boise State University, Department of Geosciences, Boise, ID, United States, Doug J. Shinneman, USGS, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Boise, United States and Andrew T Hudak, USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Moscow, United States
Erica A H Smithwick, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, Department of Geography and Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, University Park, PA, United States, Melissa Sue Lucash, Portland State University, Portland, United States, Robert Scheller, North Carolina State University, Forestry and Environmental Resources, Raleigh, United States and Robert Nicholas, Pennsylvania State University, Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, University Park, PA, United States
Adam Erickson, Washington State University, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Pullman, WA, United States and Nick Strigul, Washington State University Vancouver, Vancouver, WA, United States
Dr. Melissa A Kenney, PhD1, Michael Gerst2, Allison Bredder3, Amanda Speciale4, J. Felix Wolfinger2, Jon Gottschalck5, Scott Handel6, Matthew Rosencrans7 and David DeWitt8, (1)University of Minnesota, Institute on the Environment, St. Paul, United States, (2)University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States, (3)University of Maryland College Park, Geographical Sciences, College Park, MD, United States, (4)University of Maryland College Park, Davidsonville, MD, United States, (5)NOAA, Climate Prediction Center, Washington, DC, United States, (6)Climate Prediction Center, NOAA / National Centers for Environmental Prediction, College Park, United States, (7)NOAA, Climate Prediction Center, College Park, United States, (8)NOAA CPC, College Park, MD, United States
Istem Fer, Boston University, Earth and Environment, Boston, MA, United States, Michael Dietze, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States, Ankur R Desai, University of Wisconsin Madison, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Madison, WI, United States, Christopher Michael Gough, Virginia Commonwealth University, Biology, Richmond, VA, United States, Kimberly A Novick, Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States, Muhammad Altaf Arain, McMaster University, School Of Earth, Environment and Society, Hamilton, ON, Canada, Jiquan Chen, Michigan State University, Geography, Environment and Spatial Sciences, East Lansing, MI, United States and Ameriflux site PIs
Quinn Thomas1, Dr. Annika Jersild2, Evan Brooks3, Valerie A Thomas4 and Randolph Hamilton Wynne4, (1)Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Forest Resources and Environmental Conservation, Blacksburg, VA, United States, (2)Georgia Institute of Technology, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, United States, (3)Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA, United States, (4)Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Forest Resources and Environmental Conservation, Blacksburg, United States
Nathan Dylan Burruss, USDA-ARS Jornada Exp. Range, Las Cruces, NM, United States, Debra P C Peters, USDA-ARS, Las Cruces, NM, United States, Luis Rodriguez, Florida State University, Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, Tallahassee, United States, D. Scott McVey, USDA ARS, Manhattan, KS, United States, Emile Elias, New Mexico State Univ, Las Cruces, United States, Angela M. Pelzel-McCluskey, USDA APHIS, Fort Collins, CO, United States, Heather Savoy, USDA ARS, SCINet Big Data Program, Office of National Programs, Beltsville, MD, United States, Justin D Derner, USDA ARS, Cheyenne, WY, United States and Steven J. Pauszek, USDA ARS, Orient Point, NY, United States
Elise A Larsen1, Mariana A Abarca2 and Leslie Ries1, (1)Georgetown University, Washington, DC, United States, (2)Georgetown University, Biology, Washington, DC, United States
Naresh Neupane1, Sarah P Saunders2, Elise F Zipkin3 and Leslie Ries1, (1)Georgetown University, Washington, DC, United States, (2)Michigan State University, Lansing, United States, (3)Michigan State University, Lansing, MI, United States
