S43B:
Recent Progress in Nuclear Test Monitoring Capability I


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Session ID#: 58843

Session Description:
The 2012 National Research Council report “The CTBT: Technical Issues for the United States” reviewed the state of nuclear test monitoring technologies and analyzed theoretical capabilities, finding that “Seismic [and other] technologies have the potential to improve event detection, location, and identification substantially over the next years to decades.” Advances in understanding containment of radionuclides, atmospheric transport, infrasound, hydroacoustics, satellite remote sensing, and seismic measurement of small, evasive tests rely on development across many geoscience disciplines. Since analysis for the NRC report during 2010, the Departments of Defense, Energy, and State have invested in R&D and improved monitoring capabilities and systems. In parallel, fundamental science supported by NSF, USGS, NOAA and others has enhanced geoscience capabilities while new technology has enabled better observational systems, data processing, and simulation. This session brings together geoscientists to review subsequent scientific progress and policy experts to compare capabilities with policy goals.
Primary Convener:  Raymond J Willemann, Air Force Research Laboratory, Nuclear Explosion Monitoring Research Program, Kirtland AFB, NM, United States
Convener:  Glenn Eli Baker, AFRL/RVBYE, Kirtland AFB, NM, United States
Primary Liaison:  Raymond J Willemann, Air Force Research Laboratory, Nuclear Explosion Monitoring Research Program, Kirtland AFB, NM, United States
Chairs:  Raymond J Willemann, Air Force Research Laboratory, Nuclear Explosion Monitoring Research Program, Kirtland AFB, NM, United States and Glenn Eli Baker, AFRL/RVBYE, Kirtland AFB, NM, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Raymond J Willemann, Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology, Seattle, WA, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • NS - Near Surface Geophysics
  • PA - Public Affairs
Index Terms:

1040 Radiogenic isotope geochemistry [GEOCHEMISTRY]
3355 Regional modeling [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
6620 Science policy [PUBLIC ISSUES]
7219 Seismic monitoring and test-ban treaty verification [SEISMOLOGY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Developments in Infrasound Monitoring Since the 2012 National Research Council Report “The CTBT: Technical Issues for the United States.” (Invited) (399153)
Brian William Stump, Southern Methodist University, Roy Huffington Department of Earth Sciences, Dallas, United States
Yield Estimation for the North Korean Nuclear Tests (Invited) (371145)
Thorne Lay, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, United States
The Effects of Emplacement Media on Seismic Waves Generated by Explosions (384101)
William R Walter, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, United States and Sean Ricardo Ford, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States
Low-Yield Seismic Source Discrimination Using Local and Regional Observations (453383)
Jonas A. Kintner, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States, Michael Cleveland, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States and Andrew Nyblade, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, Department of Geosciences, University Park, PA, United States
Baseline Transportability of the Improved mb(P-coda):MsU Discrimination Method from the Nevada National Security Site (449768)
Vanessa Napoli, Seung-Hoon Yoo and David R Russell, Weston Geophysical Corp., Lexington, MA, United States
NET-VISA improvements for regional and aftershock event identification at the IDC (424076)
Nimar S Arora, Bayesian Logic, Inc., Union City, CA, United States, Stuart Russell, Univ of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States, Ronan J Le Bras, CTBTO Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization, Vienna, Austria and Radek Hofman, CTBTO Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Organization, Vienna, Austria
Noble-gas Transport in the Subsurface Under Partially-saturated Conditions (435762)
Jason E Heath1, Kristopher L Kuhlman1, Glenn E Hammond2, Matthew Paul3, Scott Broome4 and Joshua Feldman1, (1)Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States, (2)Sandia National Laboratories, Applied Systems Analysis & Research, Albuquerque, United States, (3)Sandia National Laboratories, Nuclear Waste Disposal Research & Analysis, Albuquerque, NM, United States, (4)Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, United States
Enhancement of the Sustainment of the CTBT IMS network (436759)
Nurcan Meral Ozel1, David Jepsen2, James Mattila2 and Hideaki Komiyama3, (1)Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Geophysics, Istanbul, Turkey, (2)CTBTO, Wien, Austria, (3)CTBTO Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Organization, Vienna, Austria

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