NG11A:
Stochastic Modeling and Nonlinear Waves in Atmosphere, Ocean, Climate Dynamics, and Space Physics I


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 58866

Session Description:
Geophysical fluids and space physics depend on complex interactions between waves, thermodynamics, and turbulence. Subgrid-scale processes are challenging to represent in global modeling systems. Stochastic approaches are increasingly important in weather and climate science for subgrid-scale parameterizations. Forecasting the state of the earth system in the presence of uncertainty is highly important. Stochasticity can be applied across all levels of model complexity, from conceptual toy models to complex Earth-system models. Recent progress has been made in stochastic modeling of precipitation, clouds, gravity waves, ocean eddies, and land-ice and sea-ice processes, as well as in hydromechanics and sub-surface hydrology. However, applications of increasing complexity require new and sophisticated data science tools. This session aims at bringing together the mathematical, statistical, and geophysical communities for applications that range from the earth system to space weather. Scientific results related to stochastic processes in meteorology, oceanography, climate science and space physics will be presented.
Primary Convener:  Aneesh Subramanian, University of Colorado at Boulder, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, United States
Conveners:  Dr. Raffaele Marino, CNRS, École Centrale de Lyon, Écully, France, Cecile Penland, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratories, Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States and Yoshiharu Omura, Kyoto University, Research Institute for Sustainable Humanosphere, Kyoto, Japan
Primary Liaison:  Aneesh Subramanian, University of Colorado at Boulder, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, United States
Chairs:  Aneesh Subramanian, University of Colorado at Boulder, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, United States and Dr. Raffaele Marino, CNRS, École Centrale de Lyon, Écully, France
OSPA Liaison:  Yoshiharu Omura, Kyoto University, Research Institute for Sustainable Humanosphere, Kyoto, Japan
Co-Organized with:
Nonlinear Geophysics, and Planetary Sciences

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • IN - Earth and Space Science Informatics
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
  • P - Planetary Sciences

Proposed Co-Organized Session with:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • IN - Earth and Space Science Informatics
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
  • P - Planetary Sciences
Index Terms:

3336 Numerical approximations and analyses [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3337 Global climate models [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4534 Hydrodynamic modeling [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]
7504 Celestial mechanics [SOLAR PHYSICS, ASTROPHYSICS, AND ASTRONOMY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Frequency-ranked data-driven stochastic modeling, and applications to climate dynamics (415991)
Mickael Chekroun, University of California Los Angeles, Atmos. and Ocean. Sci., Los Angeles, CA, United States
Using ensemble data assimilation to inform stochastic physics development in the NOAA’s Next Generation Global Prediction System (446459)
Jeffrey Whitaker, NOAA PSL, Boulder, United States and Philip Pegion, NOAA/PSL, Boulder, United States
A physical process based stochastic scheme using cellular automata for NOAA’s FV3GFS model (353678)
Lisa K Bengtsson1, Jian-Wen Bao2, Philip Pegion2, Cecile Penland3, Sara A. Michelson4 and Jeffrey Whitaker5, (1)University of Colorado/CIRES and NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)NOAA/PSL, Boulder, United States, (3)NOAA Earth System Research Laboratories, Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States, (4)University of Colorado/CIRES and NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)NOAA PSL, Boulder, United States
What sets the probability distribution of precipitation? (416514)
Cristian Martinez-Villalobos, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States and J David Neelin, University of California, Los Angeles, Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, United States
Nonequilibrium Statistical Mechanics of Sudden Stratospheric Warming (387207)
Justin Moshe Finkel, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, United States, Dorian S Abbot, University of Chicago, Geophysical Sciences, Chicago, IL, United States and Jonathan Weare, New York University, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York, United States
Calculating the forced response of high-dimensional geophysical turbulence using fluctuation-dissipation theorem (419600)
Pedram Hassanzadeh, Rice University, Houston, TX, United States and Amin Khodkar, Rice University, Houston, United States
Instantaneous frequency analysis on nonlinear EMIC emissions: Arase observation (439729)
Masafumi Shoji1, Yoshizumi Miyoshi2, Yoshiharu Omura3, Lynn M Kistler4, Yasumasa Kasaba5, Shoya Matsuda6, Yoshiya Kasahara6, Ayako Matsuoka7, Reiko Nomura8, Keigo Ishisaka9, Atsushi Kumamoto10, Fuminori Tsuchiya5, Satoshi Yagitani11, Mariko Teramoto12, Kazushi Asamura13, Takeshi Takashima13 and Iku Shinohara14, (1)ISEE, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan, (2)Nagoya University, Institute for Space-Earth Environmental Research, Nagoya, Japan, (3)Kyoto University, Research Institute for Sustainable Humanosphere, Kyoto, Japan, (4)Univ New Hampshire, Durham, United States, (5)Tohoku University, Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Sendai, Japan, (6)Kanazawa University, Kanazawa, Ishikawa, Japan, (7)ISAS/JAXA, Sagamihara, Japan, (8)Technical University of Braunschweig, Braunschweig, Germany, (9)Toyama Prefectural University, Imizu, Japan, (10)Tohoku Univ, Sendai, Japan, (11)Kanazawa University, Kanazawa, Japan, (12)Nagoya University, ISEE, Nagoya, Japan, (13)ISAS, JAXA, Sagamihara, Japan, (14)Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Institute of Space and Astronautical Science, Sagamihara, Kanagawa, Japan
Turbulence in the Solar Wind: from Fluid to Kinetic Scales (Invited) (373033)
Roberto Bruno, IAPS-INAF, Rome, Italy

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