B44B:
Ecological Forecasting in the Earth System II
Submit an Abstract to this Session
Session ID#: 59745
Session Description:
How are ecosystems and the services they provide going to change in the future? How do human decisions affect this trajectory? In a world facing rapid environmental change, these are the most pressing questions facing the biogeosciences. These are also fundamentally questions about forecasting. Due to advances in data availability, models, statistics, and policy, the time is ripe for rapid progress in making the biogeosciences more predictive. Furthermore, a forecasting approach will not only improve the biogeosciences more quickly, but will make it more relevant to society. That said, there are many conceptual and technical challenges to improving our ability to make predictions, such as the need for improvements in theories and models, data assimilation, targeted reductions in data deficiencies, and the quantification, propagation, and analysis of uncertainties. This session aims to highlight both methodological and application-based research on forecasting biogeochemistry, biogeophysics, and ecology across both terrestrial and aquatic systems.
Primary Convener: Michael Dietze, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
Conveners: Quinn Thomas, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Forest Resources and Environmental Conservation, Blacksburg, VA, United States and Andrew M Fox, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, United States
Primary Liaison: Michael Dietze, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
Chairs: Michael Dietze, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States, Quinn Thomas, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Forest Resources and Environmental Conservation, Blacksburg, VA, United States and Andrew M Fox, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, United States
OSPA Liaison: Andrew M Fox, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, United States
Abstracts Submitted to this Session:
Jake F Weltzin, USA National Phenology Network, Fort Collins, CO, United States and Staff of the National Coordinating Office of the USA National Phenology Network
Jaclyn Hatala Matthes, Harvard Forest, Petersham, United States, Valerie J Pasquarella, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Northeast Climate Science Center, Amherst, MA, United States and Sarah Russell, University of British Columbia, Geography, Vancouver, BC, Canada
Charles J.W. Carroll1, Miranda D Redmond1, David D Breshears2, Neil Cobb3, Craig D Allen4, Darin Law2, Jason P Field2, Nashelly Meneses5, Andreas Wion6, Lindsie M McCabe5, Luke Wilson7 and Olivia Newell-Bauer5, (1)Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (2)University of Arizona, School of Natural Resources and the Environment, Tucson, AZ, United States, (3)Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, United States, (4)University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, United States, (5)Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, United States, (6)Colorado State University, Fort Collins, United States, (7)Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, United States
Jana Kolassa, Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Lanham, United States; USRA & NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Rolf H Reichle, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, United States, Randal D Koster, NASA Goddard SFC, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, United States, Qing Liu, NASA GSFC/SSAI Inc., Greenbelt, United States and Sarith P P Mahanama, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Ann Raiho, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States, Michael Dietze, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States and Jason S McLachlan, University of Notre Dame, Department of Biological Sciences, Notre Dame, IN, United States
Gordon B Bonan, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Danica L. Lombardozzi, National Center for Atmospheric Research, CGD, Boulder, United States and William R Wieder, National Center for Atmospheric Research, CGD, Boulder, CO, United States
Cayelan Carey1, Quinn Thomas2, Renato J. Figueiredo3, Vahid Daneshmand3, Bethany J. Bookout4 and Francois Birgand5, (1)Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Biological Sciences, Blacksburg, United States, (2)Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Forest Resources and Environmental Conservation, Blacksburg, VA, United States, (3)University of Florida, Electrical and Computer Engineering, Gainesville, FL, United States, (4)Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Biological Sciences, Blacksburg, VA, United States, (5)North Carolina State University, Biological and Agricultural Engineering, Raleigh, United States
Jacob A Zwart1, Alison Appling2, Laura De Cicco1, David L Blodgett3, Fernando Renzo Salas4, Jared Willard5, Xiaowei Jia6, Vipin Kumar7 and Jordan Stuart Read1, (1)USGS Integrated Information Dissemination Division, Data Science Branch, Middleton, WI, United States, (2)U.S. Geological Survey, Water Resources Mission Area, Middleton, United States, (3)USGS Integrated Modeling and Prediction Division, Middleton, WI, United States, (4)NOAA, Geospatial Intelligence Division, Office of Water Prediction, National Water Center, Tuscaloosa, United States, (5)University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, United States, (6)University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, United States, (7)University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Department of Computer Science/Engineering, Minneapolis, United States
