H52F:
Toward Better Water Planning and Management in an Uncertain World I


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 62105

Session Description:
Water management faces a quickly evolving landscape, with climate change and related shifts in drought and flood severity, frequency, and duration; land use change; technological advances; and changes in water use and demand.  Each of these is rife with uncertainty and wide variation over space and time.  Long-term infrastructure and management decisions need to be made in the face of both deep uncertainty and non-stationarity.  How can we consider these changes while ensuring that water resource and flood protection systems are resilient, robust, and suitable for the requirements of the end user? This session will explore tools for characterising and assessing water systems at local through to continental scales for the purposes of informing planning and decision making, while considering climate, environmental, and societal changes that will impact system risks, resilience, and robustness.
Primary Convener:  Michelle W Ho, CSIRO Canberra, Canberra, ACT, Australia
Conveners:  Bree Bennett, The University of Adelaide, School of Civil, Environmental and Mining Engineering, Adelaide, Australia, James A Rising, London School of Economics, Grantham Institute on Climate Change, London, United Kingdom and Lu Zhang, CSIRO Land and Water, Canberra, Australia
Primary Liaison:  Michelle W Ho, CSIRO Canberra, Canberra, ACT, Australia
Chairs:  Michelle W Ho, CSIRO, Canberra, ACT, Australia and Bree Bennett, The University of Adelaide, School of Civil, Environmental and Mining Engineering, Adelaide, Australia
OSPA Liaison:  James A Rising, University of Delaware, Newark, DE, United States
Index Terms:

1873 Uncertainty assessment [HYDROLOGY]
1880 Water management [HYDROLOGY]
4328 Risk [NATURAL HAZARDS]
6309 Decision making under uncertainty [POLICY SCIENCES]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Building Resilience for Uncertain Water Futures in Phoenix (Invited) (343817)
Patricia Gober, Arizona State University, School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Tempe, AZ, United States
Investing in the Coastal Poor: Societal Trade-offs for Water Security Infrastructure (Invited) (424361)
Emily Barbour1, Jim W Hall2, Md. Sarfaraz Gani Adnan2, M. Shah Alam Khan3, Md. Mostafizur Rahman4, Sonia Hoque5, Mashfiqus Salehin4 and Edoardo Borgomeo6, (1)CSIRO, Land and Water, Canberra, Australia, (2)University of Oxford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford, United Kingdom, (3)Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Water Resource Development, Dhaka, Bangladesh, (4)Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Institute of Water and Flood Management, Dhaka, Bangladesh, (5)University of Oxford, School of Geography and the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom, (6)World Bank, Washington, United States
Generating and Identifying Robust Lake Mead Operating Policies Using Many Objective Robust Decision Making (449987)
Elliot Alexander1, Joseph R Kasprzyk2, Edith A Zagona2, James R Prairie3, Carly Jerla4 and Alan Butler5, (1)University of Colorado Boulder, Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)University of Colorado Boulder, Civil Environmental & Architectural Engineering, Boulder, United States, (3)Bureau of Reclamation, Upper Colorado Region, Boulder, United States, (4)Bureau of Reclamation, Office of the Chief Engineer, Boulder, United States, (5)Bureau of Reclamation, Lower Colorado Region, Boulder, United States
Climate Adaptation Plans: Assisting Water Managers in Mitigating Impacts on Water Resources in an Uncertain Future (463033)
John Mendoza1, Tapash Das2, Armin Munevar2, Lorraine E Flint3, Todd Schram1 and Chris Delaney4, (1)Sonoma County Water Agency, Santa Rosa, United States, (2)CH2M Hill San Diego, San Diego, CA, United States, (3)US Geological Survey, Sacramento, CA, United States, (4)Sonoma Water, Santa Rosa, CA, United States
Robust Adaptation to Cyclical Climate Risk (440508)
James Doss-Gollin, Rice University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houston, TX, United States, David J Farnham, Columbia University, Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering, New York, NY, United States, Upmanu Lall, Columbia University, Earth and Environmental Engineering, New York, United States and Scott Steinschneider, Cornell University, Ithaca, United States
Improving Water Valuation in Industrial Operations: Risks, Uncertainties, and Externalities (408794)
Paulina Concha Larrauri, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States, Upmanu Lall, Columbia University, Earth and Environmental Engineering, New York, United States and Fernanda C Abarzua, Columbia University of New York, Columbia Water Center, New York, NY, United States
Global assessment of water challenges under uncertainty in water scarcity projections (409693)
Peter Greve1, Taher Kahil1, Ted Veldkamp2, Edward Byers1, Junko Mochizuki1, Yusuke Satoh1, Thomas Schinko1, Simon Langan1 and Yoshihide Wada1, (1)IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, (2)Hogeschool van Amsterdam, Urban Technology, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Science to Assist with the 2020-2026 Colorado River Interim Guidelines Renegotiations (457817)
Bradley Hunt Udall, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, United States, Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of California Los Angeles, Department of Geography, Los Angeles, CA, United States, Jonathan T Overpeck, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, United States, Mu Xiao, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, United States and Laurna Kaatz, Denver Water, Denver, CO, United States

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