Constraints on Oceanic Meridional Transport of Heat and Carbon from Combined Oceanic and Atmospheric Measurements.

The global ocean transports heat northward. The magnitude of this asymmetry between the two hemispheres is a key factor of the climate system through the displacement of tropical precipitation north of the equator and its influence on Arctic temperature and sea-ice extent. These asymmetric influences on heat are however not well constrained by observations or models. We identify a robust link between the ocean heat asymmetry and the large-scale distribution in atmospheric oxygen, using both atmospheric and oceanic observations and a suite of models (oceanic, climate and inverse). Novel aircraft observations from the pole-to-pole HIPPO campaign reveal that the ocean northward heat transport necessary to explain the atmospheric oxygen distribution is in the upper range of previous estimates from hydrographic sections and atmospheric reanalyses. Finally, we evidence a strong link between the oceanic transports of heat and natural carbon. This supports the existence of a strong southward transport of natural carbon at the global scale, a feature present at pre-industrial times and still underlying the anthropogenic signal today. We find that current climate models systematically underestimate these natural large-scale ocean meridional transports of heat and carbon, which bears on future climate projections, in particular concerning Arctic climate, possible shifts in rainfall and carbon sinks partition between the land and the ocean.