Inverse Regional Modeling with Adjoint-Free Technique

The ongoing parallelization trend in computer technologies facilitates the use ensemble methods in geophysical data assimilation. Of particular interest are ensemble techniques which do not require the development of tangent linear numerical models and their adjoints for optimization. These ``adjoint-free'' methods minimize the cost function within the sequence of subspaces spanned by a carefully chosen sets perturbations of the control variables. In this presentation, an adjoint-free variational technique (a4dVar) is demonstrated in an application estimating initial conditions of two numerical models: the Navy Coastal Ocean Model (NCOM), and the surface wave model (WAM). With the NCOM, performance of both adjoint and adjoint-free 4dVar data assimilation techniques is compared in application to the hydrographic surveys and velocity observations collected in the Adriatic Sea in 2006. Numerical experiments have shown that a4dVar is capable of providing forecast skill similar to that of conventional 4dVar at comparable computational expense while being less susceptible to excitation of ageostrophic modes that are not supported by observations. Adjoint-free technique constrained by the WAM model is tested in a series of data assimilation experiments with synthetic observations in the southern Chukchi Sea. The types of considered observations are directional spectra estimated from point measurements by stationary buoys, significant wave height (SWH) observations by coastal high-frequency radars and along-track SWH observations by satellite altimeters. The a4dVar forecast skill is shown to be 30-40\% better than the skill of the sequential assimilaiton method based on optimal interpolation which is currently used in operations. Prospects of further development of the a4dVar methods in regional applications are discussed.