Mapping Error in Southern Ocean Transport Computed from Satellite Altimetry and Argo

Argo profiling floats afford basin-scale coverage of the Southern Ocean since 2005. When density estimates from Argo are combined with surface geostrophic currents derived from satellite altimetry, one can estimate integrated geostrophic transport above 2000 dbar [e.g., Kosempa and Chambers, JGR, 2014]. However, the interpolation techniques relied upon to generate mapped data from Argo and altimetry will impart a mapping error. We quantify this mapping error by sampling the high-resolution Southern Ocean State Estimate (SOSE) at the locations of Argo floats and Jason-1, and -2 altimeter ground tracks, then create gridded products using the same optimal interpolation algorithms used for the Argo/altimetry gridded products. We combine these surface and subsurface grids to compare the sampled-then-interpolated transport grids to those from the original SOSE data in an effort to quantify the uncertainty in volume transport integrated across the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC). This uncertainty is then used to answer two fundamental questions: 1) What is the minimum linear trend that can be observed in ACC transport given the present length of the instrument record? 2) How long must the instrument record be to observe a trend with an accuracy of 0.1 Sv/year?