Morphodynamic Evolution of Yangtze (Changjiang) Estuary in Decadal-timescale: Alteration from Natural Processes to Human Interferences

Morphodynamic development of river deltas has attracted intensive attention in the past several decades due to ecological and economic significance. Present study quantified the morphological evolution processes of the Yangtze Estuary in decadal-timescale (1958-2010) aiming at understanding the effects of natural processes (river inputs) on the estuary and its morphological responses to human interferences.

Inner Estuary (IE) and Mouth Bar Area (MBA) underwent substantially different changes in the study period. The net accretion rate of IE was 36.2 mm/yr in 1958-1978 and -70.9 mm/yr in 1986-1997, indicating that the IE altered from deposition to erosion along with the decline of river sediment input. By contrast, the MBA showed sustained accretion throughout the study period. The results suggested that the IE is more sensitive to the river sediment reduction than the MBA. The river flood may induce erosion in IE which can explain the erosion peak in 1986-1997 since there are continuous flood years in 1990s. The majority of erosion within IE in 1986-1997 occurred in South Branch. The depocenter within MBA transferred between the North Channel and the South Passage. Specifically, the depocenter was in the South Passage during 1958-1978, in the North Channel during 1978-1986, and back to the South Passage during 1986-1997. This is thought to be caused by the change in sediment diversion between the South and North Channel, except 1986-1997. Highest accretion rate (48.9mm/yr) in 1997-2010 is found within the North Passage if excluding the effects of navigation channel dredging. Previous research has quantified the morphological changes along the North Passage and attributed high deposition to the construction of dikes and perpendicular groins.

The fluvial-marine transition in terms of prevailing forcing and sediment property is the natural characteristics of river deltas and play an essential role on morphological development of Yangtze Estuary.

Present evidence shows that the morphological evolution of the Yangtze Estuary has altered from natural processes driven to human interferences driven. The impacts of human activities in the next 50 years would be more important. Therefore, further research about controlling factors and responding mechanism to human activities is recommended.