Use of a Blended Satellite and In situ Sea Surface Temperature Climate Data Record for Evaluating Long-term Impacts on Coral and Marine Mammal Communities

The NOAA ¼° daily Optimum Interpolation (OI) Sea Surface temperature (SST), an in situ and satellite-based climate data record of SST available from 1981, was used to examine potential impacts of long-term temperature change on marine ecosystems. As a benthic example, historical heat stress in key tropical coral reef regions was calculated from the daily temperature data, using the NOAA Coral Reef Watch methodology. The regions with long-term ocean warming trend and experiencing more frequent thermal stress are identified as the regions with high vulnerability. While corals may be able to adapt to slow changes, no systematic adaptation has been reported with temperature increase over the past few decades. In contrast to the attached corals, marine mammals respond to changes in their environment by changing their distributions, often over large geographic areas. Habitat-based species distribution models can be developed to predict changes in the spatial distribution and abundance of marine mammals. OISST is a good predictor of the distribution of some marine mammal species, including Bryde’s whales, false killer whales, and striped dolphins, and SST-based distribution models provide a foundation for projecting potential impacts of future temperature changes on marine mammals. Preliminary results from some of our research activities will be presented.