Tracer constraints on organic particle transfer efficiency to the deep ocean

The “transfer efficiency” of sinking organic particles through the mesopelagic zone is a critical determinant of ocean carbon sequestration timescales, and the atmosphere-ocean partition of CO₂. Our ability to detect large-scale variations in transfer efficiency is limited by the paucity of particle flux data from the deep ocean, and the potential biases of bottom-moored sediment traps used to collect it. Here we show that deep-ocean particle fluxes can be reconstructed by diagnosing the rate of phosphate accumulation and oxygen disappearance along deep circulation pathways in an observationally constrained Ocean General Circulation Model (OGCM). Combined with satellite and model estimates of carbon export from the surface ocean, these diagnosed fluxes reveal a global pattern of transfer efficiency to 1000m and 2000m that is high (~20%) at high latitudes and negligible (<5%) throughout subtropical gyres, with intermediate values in the tropics. This pattern is at odds with previous estimates of deep transfer efficiency derived from bottom-moored sediment traps, but is consistent with upper-ocean flux profiles measured by neutrally buoyant sediment traps, which show strong attenuation of low latitude particle fluxes over the top 500m. Mechanistically, the pattern can be explained by spatial variations in particle size distributions, and the temperature-dependence of remineralization. We demonstrate the biogeochemical significance of our findings by comparing estimates of deep-ocean carbon sequestration in a scenario with spatially varying transfer efficiency to one with a globally uniform “Martin-curve” particle flux profile.