Calcification and Reef Building: Lessons from Recent History and The Holocene

Over the past four decades, coral abundance has declined while the rate of sea-level rise has accelerated. Calcification has also been negatively impacted due to changing ocean chemistry. As we consider the impact of these realities on the accretion rate of coral reefs and those who live near them, it is important to remember that the links between coral growth and reef accretion are complex. In the early 1980s a detailed carbonate budget was completed on the north coast of St. Croix in the US Virgin Islands. The study quantified coral cover, carbonate-production rates, bioerosion, sediment export and long-term reef accretion along two, shore-normal transects. A repeat of these measurements along one of the transects in 2014 revealed a 50% reduction in coral cover and a similar decline in the agents of bioerosion (primarily fish, sponges and urchins). When combined with modeling of increased sediment export as wave climate intensifies, these data suggest that Holocene reef-accretion rates will decline. To estimate the impact of this pattern on the ability of coral reefs to track rising sea level in the 21st century, Holocene accretion rates were compiled for 200 cores from 35 reefs representing all oceans. The accretion rates for over half of these were below the present rate of sea-level rise (3.3 mm/yr). Also, the rate of reef accretion was not strongly correlated with paleo-water depth. The declining carbonate budget from the US Virgin Islands (and elsewhere) suggests that many of the reefs that could have kept up with present-day sea-level rise can no longer do so. In addition, the lack of a consistent relationship between reef building and water depth suggests that biological factors (e.g., calcification and bioerosion) are insufficient to characterize reef building either in the past or the immediate future. The missing piece is the redistribution and export of sediment and rubble. While it is obvious that this will rise as storm intensity increases, we still need to do a better job of integrating what we know about the complex interplay between physical, biological and chemical controls of reef building.