Statistical considerations in creating water vapor data records from combinations of satellite and other observation types, including in situ and ground-based remote sensing

Abstract:

Measuring water vapor at the highest spatial and temporal at all vertical levels and at arbitrary times requires strategic utilization of disparate observations from satellites, ground-based remote sensing, and in situ measurements. These different measurement types have different response times and very different spatial averaging properties, both horizontally and vertically. Accounting for these different measurement properties and explicit propagation of associated uncertainties is necessary to test particular scientific hypotheses, especially in cases of detection of weak signals in the presence of natural fluctuations, and for process studies with small ensembles. This is also true where ancillary data from meteorological analyses are required, which have their own sampling limitations and uncertainties. This study will review two investigations pertaining to measurements of water vapor in the mid-troposphere and lower stratosphere that mix satellite observations with observations from other sources. The focus of the mid-troposphere analysis is to obtain improved estimates of water vapor at the instant of a sounding satellite overpass. The lower stratosphere work examines the uncertainty inherent in a small ensemble of anomalously elevated lower stratospheric water vapor observations when meteorological analysis products and aircraft in situ observations are required for interpretation.