GC53D:
Coupled Natural Human System Research Across Scales: From Emulators of Global Climate Model Output to Local-Scale Processes and Feedbacks II

Friday, 19 December 2014: 1:40 PM-3:40 PM
Chairs:  Claudia Tebaldi, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States and Tom P Evans, Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States
Primary Conveners:  Claudia Tebaldi, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States; National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States
Co-conveners:  Tom P Evans, Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States, Brian C O'Neill, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States and Darren L Ficklin, Indiana University - Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Claudia Tebaldi, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

1:40 PM
GC53D-01
 
Emulating Future Climate Projections from Global Climate Models: Methodologies and Challenges
James Murphy, Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, EX1, United Kingdom and Claudia Tebaldi, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States
1:55 PM
GC53D-02
 
Beyond Pattern Scaling: Statistical Emulation and its Implications for ScenarioMIP
Peter Graham Challenor, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4, United Kingdom and Danny Williamson, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
2:10 PM
GC53D-03
 
User Perspectives on the Application of Pattern-Scaled and Emulated Projections for Climate Change Impact Analysis
Timothy Robert Carter, Finnish Environment Institute, Climate Change Programme, Helsinki, Finland
2:25 PM
GC53D-04
 
Toward a Simple Probabilistic GCM Emulator for Integrated Assessment of Climate Change Impacts
Ian Sue Wing1, Claudia Tebaldi2, Douglas W Nychka3 and Jordan Winkler1, (1)Boston University, Boston, MA, United States, (2)Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
2:40 PM
GC53D-05
 
Estimating megadrought risk from the CMIP5 archive using model emulators
Toby Ault, Cornell University, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Science, Ithaca, NY, United States
2:55 PM
GC53D-06
 
Impacts of Agricultural Decision Making and Adaptive Management on Food Security in Africa
Kelly K Caylor1, Tom P Evans2, Lyndon D Estes3, Justin Sheffield1, Beth A Plale2 and Shahzeen Attari2, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States, (3)Princeton Univ, Princeton, NJ, United States
3:10 PM
GC53D-07
 
Linking Climate Risk, Policy Networks and Adaptation Planning in Public Lands
Mark Lubell, Mark Schwartz and Casey Peters, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States
3:25 PM
GC53D-08
 
Socio-Hydrologic Modeling: Characterizing the Dynamics of Coupled Human-Water Systems Using Natural Science Methods
Murugesu Sivapalan, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, Urbana-Champaign, IL, United States, Yasmina Elshafei, The University of Western Australia, School of Earth and Environment, Perth, Australia and Veena Srinivasan, Ashoka Trust for Research in Ecology and the Environment, Royal Enclave, Sriramapura, Jakkur Post, Bangalore, India
 
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