Polar Climate: Processes and Predictability I

Thursday, 18 December 2014: 10:20 AM-12:20 PM
Chairs:  Cecilia M Bitz, Univ of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States and Sarah T Gille, UCSD, La Jolla, CA, United States
Primary Conveners:  Cecilia M Bitz, Univ of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
Co-conveners:  Sarah T Gille, UCSD, La Jolla, CA, United States, Marilyn N Raphael, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, United States and Ed Hawkins, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
OSPA Liaisons:  Sarah T Gille, UCSD, La Jolla, CA, United States

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

10:20 AM
Arctic Sea Ice Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Decadal Timescales
Virginie Guemas1,2, Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth3, Matthieu Chevallier2, Michel Déqué2, Francisco Doblas-Reyes1,4, Neven S Fuckar1, Danila Volpi1,5 and David Salas y Mélia2, (1)Institut Català de Ciències del Clima, Barcelona, Spain, (2)Météo-France Toulouse, Toulouse Cedex 01, France, (3)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States, (4)Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats, Barcelona, Spain, (5)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
10:35 AM
Will sea ice thickness initialisation improve Arctic seasonal-to-interannual forecast skill?
Jonathan J Day, Ed Hawkins and Steffen Tietsche, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
10:50 AM
CMIP5 Projections of 21st Century Westerly Wind Changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica: Long-Term Predictability and the Role of Tropical Linkages
Tom Bracegirdle1, John Turner2, J Scott Hosking2 and Tony Phillips2, (1)NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, CB3, United Kingdom, (2)NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom
11:05 AM
Internal Variability Limits the Predictability of a Summer Ice-Free Arctic
Alexandra Jahn1, Marika M Holland1 and Jennifer E Kay2, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)University of Colorado Boulder, Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences and CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
11:20 AM
Multi-Model Comparison of Southern Ocean and Sea Ice Trends in CORE-II and CMIP5 Model
Stephanie M Downes, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Stephen Matthew Griffies, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Prinnceton, NJ, United States, Riccardo Farneti, ICTP, Earth System Physics Section, Trieste, Italy, Simon J Marsland, CSIRO, Aspendale, Australia, Petteri Uotila, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland and Andrew Hogg, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia
11:35 AM
The causes of the interannual variability of the Atlantic water inflow to the Arctic Ocean
Takao Kawasaki1,2 and Hiroyasu Hasumi1, (1)AORI, Univ. of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan, (2)NIPR National Institute of Polar Research, Tokyo, Japan
11:50 AM
Antarctic surface temperature and sea ice biases in coupled climate models linked with cloud and land surface properties
David P Schneider, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States and David B Reusch, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Department of Earth and Environmental Science, Socorro, NM, United States
12:05 PM
Spatio-temporal Variability of Arctic Sea Ice from Days to Decades.
John S. Wettlaufer1,2 and Sahil Agarwal2, (1)Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States, (2)University of Oxford, Mathematical Institute, Oxford, United Kingdom
See more of: Cryosphere