A43D:
Multimodel and Initial-Condition Ensemble Simulations for Climate Research III Posters

Thursday, 18 December 2014: 1:40 PM-6:00 PM
Primary Convener:  Clara Deser, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
Co-conveners:  Jennifer E Kay, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, Jin Huang, NOAA, Camp Springs, MD, United States and Ben P Kirtman, University of Miami - RSMAS, Miami, FL, United States

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

3298
 
Uncertainties of Precipitation Simulated By the CMIP5 Models and Its Sensitivity to Model Resolution
Danqing Huang1, Jian Zhu2, Yaocun Zhang1, Hua Song3 and Anning Huang1, (1)Nanjing University, Nanjing, China, (2)Hohai University, Nanjing, China, (3)Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY, United States
3299
 
Comparison of Dryland Climate Change in Observations and CMIP5
Mingxia Ji, Jianping Huang and Yongkun Xie, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
3300
 
The Amplification of Australian Heatwave Characteristics in a Large Single-Model Ensemble.
Sarah Elizabeth Perkins1, Sophie C Lewis2, Andrew D King1, Lisa V. Alexander3 and Erich M Fischer4, (1)University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia, (2)University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia, (3)University of New South Wales, Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, Australia, (4)ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
3301
 
Using a Very Large Ensemble to Examine the Role of the Ocean in Recent Warming Trends.
Sarah Naomi Sparrow1, Richard Millar1, Alexander Otto1, Kuniko Yamazaki2 and Myles Robert Allen3, (1)University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, (2)University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom, (3)University of Oxford, ECI/School of Geography and the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom
3302
 
Dynamical Adjustment of Surface Air Temperature Fields from Large Initial-Condition Ensemble Simulations: Ensemble Spread and Multi-Decadal Trend Attribution
Brian V Smoliak1, Clara Deser2 and Adam Phillips2, (1)Climate Corporation Seattle, Seattle, WA, United States, (2)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
3303
 
Investigating Climate Responses to Large Volcanic Eruptions in an Ensemble of Climate Model Simulations
Arianna Marie Varuolo-Clarke, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; Lyndon State College, Atmospheric Science, Lyndonville, VT, United States and Brian Medeiros, NCAR/CGD, Boulder, CO, United States
3304
 
Using the CESM1-CAM5 Large Ensemble to study the predictability of midlatitude atmospheric dynamics
Lorenzo M Polvani1,2 and Abraham l Solomon1, (1)Columbia University, New York, NY, United States, (2)Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States
3305
 
Evaluating Lossy Data Compression on Climate Simulation Data within a Large Ensemble
Allison H Baker, John Dennis, Dorit Hammerling, Sheri A Mickelson, Douglas W Nychka and Haiying Xu, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
3306
 
Probabilistic representations of regional climate change in the CESM Large Ensemble
Nathaniel C Johnson, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States and Shang-Ping Xie, Scripps Institute of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States
3307
 
Quantifying decision-relevant climate uncertainties in climate model ensembles across multiple spatial and temporal scales
Ryan L Sriver, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, United States, Chris E Forest, Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, United States and Klaus Keller, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, University Park, PA, United States
3308
 
Global Weirding? – Using Very Large Ensembles and Extreme Value Theory to assess Changes in Extreme Weather Events Today
Friederike Elly Luise Otto1, Daniel Mitchell1, Sebastian Sippel2, Mitchell Black3, Andrea Jennifer Dittus4, Luke James Harrington5 and Nur Hanim Mohd Saleh6, (1)University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, (2)Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany, (3)University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia, (4)University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia, (5)Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand, (6)National University of Malaysia, Selangor, Malaysia
3309
 
Irreducible uncertainty in regional near-term climate projections
Rowan Sutton1, Ed Hawkins1, Robin S Smith2, David Alan Stainforth3 and Jonathan M Gregory1,4, (1)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (2)University of Reading, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom, (3)London School of Economics, CATS, and GRI, London, United Kingdom, (4)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom
3310
 
Simulation of Present-Climate Precipitation: Parameter Perturbations and Internal Variability with the GFDL Model
Laura Zamboni1, J David Neelin2, Robert L Jacob1, Ming Zhao3, Isaac Held4 and Thomas L Moore1, (1)Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamis Laboratory (GFDL), Princeton, NJ, United States, (4)Princeton Univ, Princeton, NJ, United States
3311
 
Trends In Secular Mean State And Variance Changes In Ocean Carbon Uptake In RCP8.5 Large Ensemble Experiments With Two Earth System Models
Sarah Schlunegger1, Keith B Rodgers1, Jorge L Sarmiento1 and Thomas L Froelicher2, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
3312
 
How does internal climate variability affect transient climate feedbacks?
Alexandra K Jonko, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
3313
 
Estimating the anthropogenic sea surface temperature response using pattern scaling
Adeline Bichet1, Paul J Kushner1, Lawrence Mudryk1, Laurent Terray2 and John C Fyfe3, (1)University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada, (2)CERFACS, Toulouse, France, (3)Environment Canada, Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis, Victoria, BC, Canada
3314
 
Estimation of Regional Inter-Annual Variability in a 40-Member Ensemble of the CCSM3 and Three Observation Grids over Québec.
David Gampe1, Blaise Gauvin St-Denis2, Diane Chaumont2 and Ralf Ludwig1, (1)Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Geography, Munich, Germany, (2)Ouranos, Montreal, QC, Canada
3315
 
Timescales and Magnitude of Internal Variability in Surface Ocean pCO2: 1975-2036
Darren Pilcher1, Galen A McKinley1, Keith T Lindsay2, Matthew C Long2 and Nicole S Lovenduski3, (1)University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States, (2)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States
3316
 
Water under a Changing and Uncertain Climate: Lessons from Climate Model Ensembles
Brent B Boehlert, Tufts University, Medford, MA, United States, Susan Solomon, MIT/EAPS, Cambridge, MA, United States and Kenneth M Strzepek, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States
3317
 
Using Dynamical Adjustment to Estimate the Anthropogenically-forced Response of Surface Temperature and Precipitation within a High-resolution Regional Climate Model: A Case Study of the Pacific Northwest
Nicholas Siler and Gerard Roe, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States
 
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