H21O:
Hydroclimatic Extremes: Drought IV


Session ID#: 10514

Session Description:
Drought is among the costliest natural hazards in the U.S. and around the world. Understanding drought’s hydroclimatic causes, frequency and severity, and producing reliable predictions are of critical importance for impact assessments, disaster mitigation, and future projection. This session invites contributions from all aspects of drought monitoring, diagnostics, prediction, and projection, including (1) understanding the physical mechanism and manifestation of drought events, (2) estimation of drought frequency, spatial patterns, and intra-seasonal to inter-annual variability, (3) probabilistic and deterministic modeling and forecasting, (4) predictability of dynamic models and statistical methods in drought detection, (5) impacts of climate, landscape, and demand projections on the severity and frequency of future droughts, (6) drought indicators and assessment frameworks, and (7) diagnosis and attribution of drought events.
Primary Convener:  Shahrbanou Madadgar, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States
Conveners:  L. Gwen Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, United States, Lifeng Luo, Michigan State University, Department of Geography, Environment, and Spatial Sciences, East Lansing, United States and Hamid Moradkhani, The University of Alabama, Center for Complex Hydrosystems Research, Tuscaloosa, United States
Chairs:  Lifeng Luo, Michigan State University, Department of Geography, Environment, and Spatial Sciences, East Lansing, United States, Hamid Moradkhani, The University of Alabama, Center for Complex Hydrosystems Research, Tuscaloosa, United States, L. Gwen Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, United States and Shahrbanou Madadgar, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Lifeng Luo, Michigan State University, Department of Geography, Environment, and Spatial Sciences, East Lansing, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • EP - Earth and Planetary Surface Processes
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

1807 Climate impacts [HYDROLOGY]
1812 Drought [HYDROLOGY]
1817 Extreme events [HYDROLOGY]
1833 Hydroclimatology [HYDROLOGY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Recent potentially predictable droughts associated with the west Pacific warming mode and ENSO (Invited) (60502)
Chris C Funk1,2, Andrew Hoell3, Shraddhanand Shukla4, Colin P Kelley5, Laura Harrison2 and Climate Hazards Group, (1)USGS, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (2)University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (3)NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States, (4)University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (5)Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States
Competitive influences on droughts: present and future (76923)
Celine Bonfils1, Gemma Jayne Anderson1, Benjamin D Santer1, Thomas J Phillips1, Ivana Cvijanovic2 and Benjamin Cook3, (1)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States, (2)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Atmospheric, Earth and Energy Division, Livermore, CA, United States, (3)NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States
A Hybrid Framework for Improving NMME Precipitation Forecasts (73705)
Shahrbanou Madadgar1, Linyin Cheng1, Andrew W Wood2, Amir Aghakouchak3 and Mark D. Svoboda4, (1)University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)University of California Irvine, The Henry Samueli School of Engineering, Irvine, CA, United States, (4)University of Nebraska-Lincoln, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, United States
Drought Characterisation and the Application of Indices in UK Water Resource Management (80235)
Amy Teresa Lennard, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L69, United Kingdom and Neil Macdonald, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
Development of an Objective High Spatial Resolution Soil Moisture Index (80091)
Bradley Zavodsky, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL, United States, Jonathan Case, ENSCO, Inc./NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL, United States, Kristopher White, NOAA National Weather Service Huntsville, Huntsville, AL, United States and Jordan R Bell, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Earth Science Branch, Huntsville, AL, United States
A Simple Drought Product and Indicator Derived from Temperature and Relative Humidity Observed by the Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS) (86776)
Stephanie L Granger, NASA Western Water Applications Office, Pasadena, CA, United States and Ali Behrangi, University of Arizona, Department of Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, Tucson, AZ, United States
Development of a Demand Sensitive Drought Index and its Application for Agriculture over the Conterminous United States. (60146)
Elius Etienne, SENSAQ, LLC, Brooklyn, NY, United States, Naresh Devineni, CUNY City College of New York, Department of Civil Engineering, New York, NY, United States, Reza Khanbilvardi, CUNY-Civil Engineering T-107, New York, NY, United States and Upmanu Lall, Columbia University of New York, Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering, New York, United States
Critical Aspects of the Coastal Drought Index: Length of Salinity Data Record and Ecological Response Data (64337)
Paul Anthony Conrads, U. S. Geological Survey, South Atlantic Water Science Center, Columbia, SC, United States; USGS South Atlantic Water Science Center, Columbia, SC, United States, Daniel L Tufford, University of South Carolina Columbia, Columbia, SC, United States and Lisa S Darby, NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States

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