A33M:
Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction of Weather and Climate I Posters


Session ID#: 8357

Session Description:
There is a growing interest in the scientific, operational and applications communities in developing sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasts (2 weeks to a season) that fill the gap between medium-range weather and seasonal forecasts. Sub-seasonal forecasting is at a relatively early stage of development yet operational models are beginning to exhibit some skill based on a number of sources of sub-seasonal predictability (e.g. sea-ice, soil moisture, MJO, stratosphere-troposphere interactions etc.). This session seeks contributions on all aspects of S2S, with emphasis on relevant phenomena and mechanisms responsible for predictability, design of S2S forecast systems, forecast quality and uncertainty quantification, and approaches to leverage S2S forecasts for applications, especially to mitigate natural hazards. Contributions that exploit the newly established WWRP/WCRP S2S project database are particularly welcome.
Primary Convener:  Andrew William Robertson, Columbia University, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, United States
Conveners:  Frederic Vitart, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom, Arun Kumar, NOAA/NCEP, Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD, United States and Duane Edward Waliser, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States
Chairs:  Duane Edward Waliser, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States and Andrew William Robertson, Columbia University, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Duane Edward Waliser, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • AMS: American Meteorological Society -
Index Terms:

0550 Model verification and validation [COMPUTATIONAL GEOPHYSICS]
1817 Extreme events [HYDROLOGY]
3337 Global climate models [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4315 Monitoring, forecasting, prediction [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Alemtsehai Abate Turasie, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa and Caio A.S. Coelho, National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Center for Weather Forecasts and Climate Research (CPTEC), Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil
Qiong Yang, University of Washington /JISAO and NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA, United States, Muyin Wang, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States and James E Overland, NOAA Seattle, Seattle, WA, United States
Arun Kumar, NOAA/NCEP, Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD, United States and Mingyue Chen, NOAA Science Center, College Park, MD, United States
Theodore L Allen, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
Venkat Krishnamurthy, George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States and A Surjalal Sharma, Univ Maryland, College Park, MD, United States
Dejian Yang1, Xiu-Qun Yang1, Qian Xie2, Yaocun Zhang1, Xuejuan Ren1 and Youmin Tang3, (1)Nanjing University, Nanjing, China, (2)PLA University of Science and Technology, Nanjing, China, (3)University of Northern British Columbia, Prince George, BC, Canada
Qigang Wu, Fudan University, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Shanghai, China
Niko Wanders, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands and Eric F Wood, Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States
Ying Zhang1, Semu Ayalew Moges2 and Paul J Block1, (1)University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI, United States, (2)University of Connecticut, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, CT, United States
So Young Yim1, Bin Wang2, Wen Xing3 and Hyun-kyung Kim1, (1)KMA Korea Meteorlogical Administration, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South), (2)University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Meteorology, and International Pacific Research Center, Honolulu, HI, United States, (3)University of Colorado Boulder, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States
Ankita Singh, IIT Bhubaneswar, India, School of Earth Ocean and CLimate Sciences, Bhubaneswar, India, U C Mohanty, IIT Bhubaneswar, India, School of Earth Ocean and Climate Sciences, Bhubaneswar, India and K Ghosh, India Meteorological Department Pune, Pune, India
Panagiotis Athanasiadis1, Silvio Gualdi2, Adam A Scaife3, Alessio Bellucci4, Leon Hermanson5, Enrico Scoccimarro6, Stefano Materia7, Antonella Sanna1, Andrea Borrelli1 and Craig MacLachlan5, (1)CMCC - Bologna, Bologna, Italy, (2)Fondazione CMCC, Bologna, Italy, (3)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (4)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Climate Simulations and Predictions Division, Bologna, Italy, (5)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (6)National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, BOLOGNA, Italy, (7)Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), CSP Division, Bologna, Italy
Paul J Block and Brian Zimmerman, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States
Stelian Curceac1, Camille Ternynck2 and Taha Ouarda1,3, (1)Masdar Institute of Science and Technology, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, (2)University of Lille 2, Health, Lille, France, (3)Masdar Institute of Science and Technology, iWATER, Institute Centre for Water Advanced Technology & Environmental Research, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Marko Markovic, Meteorological Service of Canada, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Dorval, QC, Canada
Shan Sun, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
Andrew William Robertson, Columbia University, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, United States, Vincent Moron, CEREGE, Aix-en-Provence Cedex, France and D. S. Pai, India Meteorological Department, National Climate Centre, Pune, India
Subhadeep Halder1, Paul Dirmeyer2, Benjamin Cash1 and Jennifer A. Adams1, (1)George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States, (2)George Mason University, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Fairfax, VA, United States