A33M:
Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction of Weather and Climate I Posters


Session ID#: 8357

Session Description:
There is a growing interest in the scientific, operational and applications communities in developing sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasts (2 weeks to a season) that fill the gap between medium-range weather and seasonal forecasts. Sub-seasonal forecasting is at a relatively early stage of development yet operational models are beginning to exhibit some skill based on a number of sources of sub-seasonal predictability (e.g. sea-ice, soil moisture, MJO, stratosphere-troposphere interactions etc.). This session seeks contributions on all aspects of S2S, with emphasis on relevant phenomena and mechanisms responsible for predictability, design of S2S forecast systems, forecast quality and uncertainty quantification, and approaches to leverage S2S forecasts for applications, especially to mitigate natural hazards. Contributions that exploit the newly established WWRP/WCRP S2S project database are particularly welcome.
Primary Conveners:  Andrew William Robertson, Columbia University of New York, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, United States
Conveners:  Frederic Vitart, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom, Arun Kumar, NOAA/NCEP, Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD, United States and Duane Edward Waliser, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States
Chairs:  Duane Edward Waliser, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States and Andrew William Robertson, Columbia University of New York, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Duane Edward Waliser, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • AMS: American Meteorological Society -
Index Terms:

0550 Model verification and validation [COMPUTATIONAL GEOPHYSICS]
1817 Extreme events [HYDROLOGY]
3337 Global climate models [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4315 Monitoring, forecasting, prediction [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Alemtsehai Abate Turasie, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa and Caio A.S. Coelho, INPE National Institute for Space Research, CPTEC, Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil
Qiong Yang1, Muyin Wang1 and James E Overland2, (1)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, (2)NOAA Seattle, Seattle, WA, United States
Arun Kumar, NOAA/NCEP, Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD, United States and Mingyue Chen, NOAA Science Center, College Park, MD, United States
Theodore L Allen, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
Venkat Krishnamurthy, George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States and A Surjalal Sharma, Univ Maryland, College Park, MD, United States
Dejian Yang1, Xiu-Qun Yang1, Qian Xie2, Yaocun Zhang1, Xuejuan Ren1 and Youmin Tang3, (1)Nanjing University, Nanjing, China, (2)PLA University of Science and Technology, Nanjing, China, (3)University of Northern British Columbia, Prince George, BC, Canada
Qigang Wu, Nanjing University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing, China
Niko Wanders, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands and Eric F Wood, Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States
Ying Zhang1, Semu Ayalew Moges2 and Paul J Block1, (1)University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI, United States, (2)University of Connecticut, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, CT, United States
So Young Yim1, Bin Wang2, Wen Xing3 and Hyun-kyung Kim1, (1)KMA Korea Meteorlogical Administration, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South), (2)University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Meteorology, and International Pacific Research Center, Honolulu, HI, United States, (3)Ocean University of China, Physical Oceanography Laboratory/Qingdao Collaborative Innovation Center of Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao, China
Ankita Singh, IIT Bhubaneswar, India, School of Earth Ocean and CLimate Sciences, Bhubaneswar, India, U C Mohanty, IIT Bhubaneswar, India, School of Earth Ocean and Climate Sciences, Bhubaneswar, India and K Ghosh, India Meteorological Department Pune, Pune, India
Panagiotis Athanasiadis1, Silvio Gualdi1, Adam A Scaife2, Alessio Bellucci1, Leon Hermanson2, Enrico Scoccimarro3, Stefano Materia1, Antonella Sanna1, Andrea Borrelli1 and Craig MacLachlan2, (1)CMCC - Bologna, Bologna, Italy, (2)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (3)National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, BOLOGNA, Italy
Paul J Block and Brian Zimmerman, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States
Stelian Curceac1, Camille Ternynck2 and Taha Ouarda1,3, (1)Masdar Institute of Science and Technology, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, (2)University of Lille 2, Health, Lille, France, (3)Masdar Institute of Science and Technology, iWATER, Institute Centre for Water Advanced Technology & Environmental Research, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Marko Markovic, Environment Canada Dorval, Dorval, QC, Canada
Shan Sun, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States
Andrew William Robertson, Columbia University of New York, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, United States, Vincent Moron, CEREGE, Aix-en-Provence Cedex, France and D. S. Pai, India Meteorological Department, National Climate Centre, Pune, India
Subhadeep Halder, Paul Dirmeyer, Benjamin Cash and Jennifer A. Adams, George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States