EC31A:
Coasts in Crisis: Sea Level Rise and Inundation and the Drivers for Adaptation I


Session ID#: 11315

Session Description:
Sea-level rise, a dominant driving force of coastal change, along with altered wave conditions, storm intensity and ocean circulation patterns, is increasingly evident and important as a persistent and long term hazard worldwide. The geologic record shows that sea level has been as much as ~8 m higher and ~130 m lower than today within a timeframe that, though in a geological extent, coincides mostly with current coastal settings.. Sea-level rise, with high regional variability, is accelerating and is expected to continue for centuries, with rise of 0.5 to 2 m predicted by 2100. Inherent with this process is the expected increase in enhanced coastal storm and inundation activity – further enhancing coastal flooding and damage. Adaptation planning is advisable with reliable and validated models for predicting coastal change and inundation resulting from storms and rise. Papers invited include the impacts of sea-level rise, storms, waves on coasts; field and numerical model studies of storm surge, waves and inundation predictions and effects; links between warming and sea-level rise; assessments of coastal impacts; examples of adaptation and/or adaptive planning; national and regional investigations and/or policy of coastal elevation and change; and case studies.
Primary Chair:  Charles J Lemckert, Griffith University, Griffith School of Engineering, Nathan, QLD, Australia
Chairs:  Gonzalo Malvárez, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Responsable Área Geografía Física, Sevilla, Spain, James Andrew Cooper, University of Ulster, School of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Coleraine, United Kingdom and S Jeffress Williams, U.S. Geological Survey, Woods Hole Science Center, Woods Hole, MA, United States
Moderators:  Charles J Lemckert, Griffith University, Griffith School of Engineering, Nathan, QLD, Australia and S Jeffress Williams, U.S. Geological Survey, Woods Hole Science Center, Woods Hole, MA, United States
Student Paper Review Liaison:  Gonzalo Malvárez, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Responsable Área Geografía Física, Sevilla, Spain
Index Terms:

1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4215 Climate and interannual variability [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]
4217 Coastal processes [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]
4546 Nearshore processes [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • HI - Human Use and Impacts
  • MG - Marine Geology & Sedimentology
  • PC - Past, Present and Future Climate
  • PO - Physical Oceanography/Ocean Circulation

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

EC31A-01
Recent Pacific Ocean basin coastal response to inter-annual climate variability with implications for future climate change impacts (90769)
Patrick Barnard1, Andrew D Short2, Mitchell Harley3, Kristen Splinter3, Sean Vitousek1, Ian L Turner4, Jonathan C Allan5, Masayuki Banno6, Karin R Bryan7, Andre Doria8, Charles Henry Fletcher II9, Jeff Hansen10, George M Kaminsky11, Shigeru Kato12, Yoshiaki Kuriyama13, Evan Randall-Goodwin1,8, Peter Ruggiero14, Ian James Walker15 and Derek Heathfield16, (1)U.S. Geological Survey, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, Santa Cruz, CA, United States, (2)University of Sydney, Australia, (3)UNSW Australia, (4)University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (5)Oregon Dept of Geology, Newport, OR, United States, (6)Port and Airport Research Institute, Kanagawa, Japan, (7)University of Waikato, School of Science, Hamilton, New Zealand, (8)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego, CA, United States, (9)University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States, (10)University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA, Australia, (11)Washington State Department of Ecology, Olympia, WA, United States, (12)Toyohashi University of Technology, Toyohashi, Japan, (13)Port and Airport Research Institute, Japan, (14)Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States, (15)Arizona State University, School of Geographical Sciences & Urban Planning, School of Earth & Space Exploration, Tempe, AZ, United States, (16)Hakai Institute, Victoria, BC, Canada
EC31A-02
Adaptation or Resistance: a classification of responses to sea-level rise (91047)
James Andrew Cooper, University of Ulster, School of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Coleraine, United Kingdom
EC31A-03
Projected Sea Level Rise and Changes in Extreme Storm Surge and Wave Events During the 21st Century in the Region of Singapore (91143)
Heather Cannaby, National Oceanography Centre, United Kingdom, Matthew D Palmer, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, Tom Howard, Met Office, United Kingdom and Lucy Bricheno, National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, United Kingdom
EC31A-04
Modeling Street-Level Inundation in Galveston, Texas City, and Houston during 2008 Hurricane Ike: Now and Implications for the Future (92110)
Derek Loftis, VIMS, Gloucester Pt, VA, United States
EC31A-05
Understanding and Applying Landscape Simulation Models to Predict Sea-Level Rise and Ecosystem Impacts under Climate Change (92367)
Thomas W Doyle, USGS Wetland and Aquatic Research Center, Lafayette, LA, United States and Bogdan Chivoiu, University of Louisiana at Lafayette, Lafayette, LA, United States
EC31A-06
The Effect of Sea Level Rise on Tidal Dynamics in Chesapeake and Delaware Bays (93354)
Serena Blyth Lee1, Ming Li2 and Fan Zhang2, (1)Griffith University, Griffith Climate Change Response Program. Griffith Centre for Coastal Management, Gold Coast, Australia, (2)University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science Horn Point Laboratory, Cambridge, MD, United States
EC31A-07
Coastal Bays and Sea Level Rise: a long term analysis of Chincoteague Bay Barrier Island System. (93753)
Ajoy Kumar and Nathan Murry, Millersville University of Pennsylvania, Millersville, PA, United States
EC31A-08
Evaluating Future Flooding Risks by Including Wave Height Distributions in Short- and Long-Term Sea Level Variations (89537)
Ulpu Leijala, Jan-Victor Bjorkqvist, Kimmo K. Kahma, Hilkka Pellikka, Milla M. Johansson and Jani Särkkä, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland
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