PO12B:
Advances in Operational Oceanography: Modeling, Product Services, and Skill Assessment II


Session ID#: 11513

Session Description:
Real-time marine forecasting products based on numerical ocean models have being widely used by a variety of applications ranging from guiding maritime transportation, planning recreational activities, and supporting hazard and emergency responses. Advances in observation technology, modeling and assimilation capabilities, probabilistic techniques, and visualization tools have made marine forecasts more reliable, dissemination more timely, and products more user friendly. This session will provide a forum for real-time applications of ocean forecasting based on hydrodynamic, ecological, and/or integrated land-air-ocean-wave coupled modeling systems. Abstracts from the following key areas are encouraged: (1) real-time maritime applications and products employing new techniques; (2) tools and metrics for forecast performance; (3) probabilistic forecasts for observation network and decision risk assessment; (4) advances in product visualization; (5) challenges in maintaining and improving real-time systems; (6) transitioning research to operations. This session will promote discussions on research requirements to meet the operational needs of real-time ocean forecasting and product improvements.
Primary Chair:  Andrea C Mask, Naval Oceanographic Office, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Chairs:  Aijun Zhang, NOAA, NOS/CO-OPS, Silver Spring, MD, United States, Avichal Mehra, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD, United States and Charlie N. Barron, Naval Research Lab, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Moderators:  Aijun Zhang, NOAA National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, MD, United States and Charlie N. Barron, Naval Research Laboratory SSC, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Student Paper Review Liaisons:  Andrea C Mask, Naval Oceanographic Office, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States and Avichal Mehra, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD, United States
Index Terms:

1910 Data assimilation, integration and fusion [INFORMATICS]
1922 Forecasting [INFORMATICS]
4255 Numerical modeling [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]
4564 Tsunamis and storm surges [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • A - Air-sea Interactions and Upper Ocean Processes
  • ME - Marine Ecosystems
  • OD - Ocean Observing and Data Management

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Applying Multi-Model Superensemble Methods to Global Ocean Operational Systems (88036)
Todd D Spindler1, Avichal Mehra2 and Deanna M Spindler1, (1)IMSG, NCEP / Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD, United States, (2)NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD, United States
Ensemble global ocean forecasting (93880)
Gary B Brassington, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
Impact of Assimilation on Hindcast and Forecast Performance in Small Nearshore Domains (92430)
Thomas G Almeida, Arie L Reath and David T Walker, SRI International, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
Improving the Arctic ice edge forecasts by assimilating high resolution sea ice concentration products in the U.S. Navy’s ice forecasting systems (91997)
Pamela G Posey1, E Joseph Metzger1, Alan J Wallcraft1, David A Hebert1, Richard Allard1, Ole Martin Smedstad2, Michael Phelps3, Florence M Fetterer4, Scott Stewart5, Walter Meier6 and Sean Helfrich7, (1)Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (2)Vencore Services and Solutions, Inc, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (3)Jacobs Technology Inc., Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (4)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)Exploratory Thinking, Longmont, CO, United States, (6)National Snow and Ice Data Center, CIRES, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (7)National Ice Center, Suitland, MD, United States
Probabilistic calculation of near-field tsunami edge waves (89903)
Eric L Geist, USGS Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, Menlo Park, CA, United States
Operational Prediction of Hurricane Induced Coastal Surge and Inundation (89989)
Jayaram Veeramony, US Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, Allison Penko, US Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC, United States and Maarten Van Ormondt, Deltares, Netherlands
FLOOD FORECAST ACCURACY AND DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM APPROACH: THE VENICE CASE (93041)
Alberto Canestrelli, Tidal Forecast and Early Warning Center, Italy, Venice, Italy and Maurizio Di Donato, Independent researcher, Venice, Italy
Global SST forecast using empirical model: causality based non-linear modeling (93812)
Dong Eun Lee, Columbia University of New York, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States