Improving Seasonal Forecasting of Coral Disease Outbreak Risk

Scott F Heron1,2, Gang Liu3,4, Jamie Caldwell5,6, Megan Donahue7, Austin Greene6, William Leggat8,9, Tracy D Ainsworth9, Bernardo Vargas-Angel10, Courtney Couch11, Bruce C Monger12, Joleah B Lamb13, Laurie J Raymundo14, Bette L Willis9, Erick F Geiger15,16, Jacqueline L De La Cour4,15, Ben Marsh1,17, William J Skirving2,18, Kyle Tirak2,16 and C. Mark Eakin16, (1)NOAA Coral Reef Watch-ReefSense, Townsville, Australia, (2)Global Science & Technology, Inc., Greenbelt, MD, United States, (3)NOAA Coral Reef Watch, College Park, United States, (4)Global Science and Technology Inc Greenbelt, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (5)Hawaii Institute of Marine Biology, Kaneohe, HI, United States, (6)University of Hawai‘i at Manoa, Hawai‘i Institute of Marine Biology, Kane‘ohe, HI, United States, (7)University of Hawai‘i, Hawai‘i Institute of Marine Biology, Kane‘ohe, HI, United States, (8)James Cook University, College of Public Health, Medical and Veterinary Sciences, Townsville, Australia, (9)James Cook University, Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, Townsville, Australia, (10)National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Ecosystem Sciences Division, Honolulu, HI, United States, (11)Joint Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Honolulu, HI, United States, (12)Cornell University, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Ithaca, NY, United States, (13)Cornell University, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Ithaca, NY, United States, (14)University of Guam, University of Guam Marine Laboratory, Mangilao, Guam, (15)NOAA Coral Reef Watch-UMD/CISESS, College Park, United States, (16)NOAA/NESDIS/STAR Coral Reef Watch, College Park, MD, United States, (17)University of Queensland, School of Biological Sciences, St Lucia, Australia, (18)NOAA Coral Reef Watch-ReefSense, Aitkenvale, QLD, Australia