Subseasonal-to-Seasonal-Scale Prediction of Coral Bleaching Heat Stress for Effective Reef Monitoring and Management: NOAA Coral Reef Watch’s Probabilistic Four-Month Outlook

Gang Liu1,2, Mingyue Chen3, Jacqueline L De La Cour2,4, Erick Francis Geiger4,5, Scott F Heron2,6, William J Skirving6,7, Kyle Tirak2,5, Arun Kumar3 and C. Mark Eakin5, (1)NOAA Coral Reef Watch, College Park, MD, United States, (2)Global Science & Technology, Inc., Greenbelt, MD, United States, (3)NOAA/NCEP Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD, United States, (4)NOAA Coral Reef Watch-UMD_CICS, College Park, MD, United States, (5)NOAA/NESDIS/STAR Coral Reef Watch, College Park, MD, United States, (6)NOAA Coral Reef Watch-ReefSense, Townsville, Australia, (7)NOAA Coral Reef Watch-ReefSense, Aitkenvale, QLD, Australia